Globeform
    Printed from http://www.globeform.com Visit the website for more    

Woodford Reserve: Wise Dan - a proper star
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2013-05-03 04:42:29


Churchill Downs

Saturday: The Kentucky Derby may or may not produce a proper star. We'll see. In the meantime we can enjoy a seriously good one in action in the preceding contest, the 9-furlong Woodford Reserve Turf Classic (G1), where reigning Horse of The Year Wise Dan is set to meet Point of Entry, who beat Animal Kingdom on his most recent start, as well as classy Californians Jeranimo, a strong closer, and Slim Shadey, second in this race twelve months ago.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
WOODFORD RESERVE TURF CLASSIC (G1)

Churchill Downs 4 May 2013 1 1/8 miles turf

Runners presented with best Globeform ratings & jockeys

Top ranked horse on 100, with others ranked down in pounds.
One length equals two pounds over this distance.
Best Globeform rating after name of sire.


100 - WISE DAN (Wiseman's Ferry) GF 132 / J Lezcano
..93 - POINT OF ENTRY (Dynaformer) GF 125p / J Velazquez
..90 - JERANIMO (Congaree) GF 120 / R Bejarano
..88 - OPTIMIZER (English Channel) GF 116 / J Rosario
..88 - SILVER MAX (Badge of Silver) GF 116 / R Albarado
..87 - SLIM SHADEY (Val Royal) GF 117 / G Stevens
..83 - SWIFT WARRIOR (First Samurai) GF 111 / J Castellano
..80 - BIM BAM (Deputy Wild Cat) GF 106 / R Santana Jr
..78 - MIDDIE (Officer) GF 106 / F C Torres

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

WISE DAN
is impossible to oppose. He produced GF 132 when winning the Ben Ali Stakes (G3) at Keeneland in April last year, and went on to win much more prestigious races without having to produce such an exceptionally high rating. He completed a Grade One triple in the Shadwell Turf Mile, Woodbine Mile and Breeders' Cup Mile. This is 9 furlongs but don't worry about that he has won the Clark Handicap (G1) over this distance on dirt here at Churchill and he does stay the trip well. He was a smooth winner on his comeback, landing the Maker's Mark Mile (G1) at Keeneland last month, readily outpointing the in-form Data Link while conceding weight. The initial plan was to then rest him up to the Foster in June but Charles LoPresti decided to go for this race, since Wise Dan has been doing so well after that win at Keeneland.

POINT OF ENTRY was the second best turf horse in North America last year, when winning the Man O'War Stakes (G1) at Belmont, Sword Dancer (G1) at Saratoga and Turf Classic (G1) back at Belmont, before running second in the Breeders' Cup Turf (G1) where he was arguably given too much to do and probably should have won. He raced up with the pace and surprised a few when out-sprinting Animal Kingdom in the Gulfstream Park Turf Handicap (G1) in February. He won by 1 1/2 lengths while giving two pounds to Animal Kingdom, who went on to win the Dubai World Cup (g1) on his next start. Point of Entry looks to be the only danger to Wise Dan, and he is the obvious exacta horse.

JERANIMO has not run since gaining a facile win in the San Gabriel (G2) over 9 furlongs at Santa Anita in January (came from off the pace, as is his style, to beat Temples Door by 2 3/4 lengths). That win came after a layoff and he fired after a break also when landing last year's Shoemaker Mile (G1) at Hollwood Park (from subsequent big race winners Suggestive Boy and Little Mike). His near four-month break leading up to this, his second trip to Churchill, is by no means a negative factor. He ran respectably over this course to finish seventh in the 2011 Breeders' Cup Mile (G1). Jeranimo is a strong closer whose chances increase with a hot pace. SLIM SHADEY, runner-up in this event last year and in good form albeit somewhat inconsistent) is likely to go forward from post two, and both Optimizer and Silver Max are also a prominent runner. As are the two principals. The pace scenario should be ideal for Jeranimo, and he has a good chance of hitting the board.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 8 WISE DAN
B: 9 POINT OF ENTRY
C: 6 JERANIMO

RECOMMENDED BETS


Win: 8 Wise Dan

1 Exacta: 8 with 9

5 Trifectas:

A: 8 with 9 with 6
B: 8 with 9 with 2, 3, 4

C: 8 with 6 with 9

12 Superfectas

A: 8 with 9 with 6 with 2, 3, 4
B: 8 with 9 with 2, 3, 4 with 6
C: 8 with 9 with 6 with 1, 5, 7
D: 8 with 9 with 1, 5, 7 with 6








Copyright (c) Globeform, 2001-2012