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Dubai Gold Cup: UAE, Ireland, France, South Africa, Germany
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2013-03-29 07:04:57 (First published: 2013-03-28 05:14:17 )


Meydan

A truly international field of ten has been drawn for the Dubai Gold Cup (G3) on World Cup night. A stamina test over 3200 metres, it brings in horses from five leading racing nations. The race favourite is one of Ireland's two representatives, Imperial Monarch, who was a Group One winner in France last year.



Full scale preview now posted - part of the Dubai World Cup Special





GLOBEFORM RATINGS
DUBAI GOLD CUP (G2)

Meydan 30 March 2013 / 3200 metres / 16 furlongs Turf

Runners presented with best Globeform rating, trainer, jockey

118p - IMPERIAL MONARCH / Aidan O'Brien / Joseph O'Brien
116 - CAVALRYMAN / Saeed bin Suroor / Silvestre de Sousa
115 - SADDLER'S ROCK / John Oxx / Declan McDonogh
107p - VEREMA / Alain de Royer-Dupre / C-P Lemaire
112? - AVERROES / Ernst Oertel / Tadhg O'Shea
111 - SEISMOS / Andreas Wohler / Mirco Demuro
110p - TENENBAUM / Mahmood Al Zarooni / Mickael Barzalona
110 - AHZEEMAH / Saeed bin Suroor / Kieren Fallon
110 - STAR EMPIRE / Mike de Kock / Christophe Soumillon
104 - JUTLAND / Doug Watson / Pat Dobbs

Verema: 2kg (4.4lbs) sex weight allowance.

Add 4.4lbs to her rating for direct comparison with the males



GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

IMPERIAL MONARCH
, trained by Irish champion handler Aidan O'Brien, is a most interesting runner in this stamina test. This four-year-old, who has never raced over further than 2400 metres, may well prove to be the class act in this Gold Cup. He won the Grand Prix de Paris (G1) in Paris last July, when young Joseph O'Brien gave him an enterprising ride in front. Imperial Monarch set steady fractions and when Last Train came with a late surge, the Irish colt had enough in reserve to fend him off. He won by a head. Imperial Monarch, who has showed an aptitude for soft and heavy ground, had previously won a Group 3 on testing ground in England and been unlucky when unplaced in the Prix du Jockey-Club (G1) in France. Badly hampered in what was an exceptionally rough race, he did well to finish eighth, beaten just over four lengths by the winner, Saonois. The three-year-olds were not a vintage bunch in Europe last year but it probably won't take a top class performance to win this Gold Cup, and Imperial Monarch is a lightly raced colt open to improvement who has a first rate chance. He is a son of Derby winner Galileo and closely related to Mount Athos, a smart stayer who won over 2800 metres in England and ran fifth in last year's Melbourne Cup (G1) over 3200 metres.

CAVALRYMAN, an old warrior from the Godolphin team, goes into this race on then back of a fine effort in the Dubai City Of Gold (G2) over 2400 metres on Super Saturday, when he finished a close third behind Jakkalberry and Await The Dawn (who runs in the Sheema Classic). Cavalryman, at three good enough to finish second in the 'Arc' at Longchamp, stays well. He won a Listed event over 2 miles at Sandown Park in England last year (a very stiff track) and also ran a creditable race when second to Caucus in Listed company over the same trip at Newmarket. Sent off at 30-1, he was not disgraced in last year's Melbourne Cup (G1) in Australia; came home in 12th place, less than eight lengths behind the winner, Green Moon.

SADDLER'S ROCK, rather a small but very strong horse, is a smart stayer. Already quite accomplished, he is open to further improvement, and he will probably be one of the leading players in this Gold Cup. Don't worry too much about his defeat first time out at Meydan. It came in a slowly run race that did not suit him and it was just a prep big the big task ahead, a pipe opener if you like.

He first made his mark outside Ireland when beating Opinion Poll in the 2011 Doncaster Cup (G2) in England, one of the most important cup races in the racing calendar. Saddler's Rock immediately became one of the future favourites for last year's Ascot Gold Cup (G1) and he ran a good race at the Royal meeting. Softish ground and lack of pace worked against him though, and he had to settle for third place, behind the Godolphin duo Colour Vision and Opinion Poll. John Oxx sent him back to England a few weeks later, and saddler's Rock was successful in the Goodwood Cup (G2) over 2 miles (about 3200 metres). That win was his high point in 2012, when he record was solid rather than brilliant. An unusually wet summer was not what his connections had hoped for, as this stayer is at his best on good and good to firm ground. Such conditions are often found at Meydan, where the Gold Cup distance will also suit him.

He was fifth to AHZEEMAH in the Nad Al Sheba Trophy (G3) over 2800 metres on March 2, when Certerach, Star Empire and Tenenbaum also beat him. Saddler's Rock is capable of gaining revenge on them all. He will be fitter on the big day, and he will be seen to much better effect over 3200 metres, particularly if a strong pace brings stamina into play.

TENENBAUM lost the battle when only fourth in the main prep for the Dubai Gold Cup (G3), but this ex-French winner should by no means be ruled out of the war. He was staying on nicely in the Nad Al Sheba Trophy (G3) on Super Saturday. The race was won by another Godolphin trainee, Ahzeemah, who had the benefit of two previous runs at the Carnival and held fitness advantage. Do not be surprised if Tenenbaum turns the tables on World Cup night.

Tenenbaum was trained by Andre Fabre in France last year and he joined Godolphin ahead of this UAE season. He was soon noted as a talent last year, and made nice progress through his three-year-old campaign. Whether he is a top class stayer in the making is still too soon to say but there should be nice races to be won with this son of Epsom Derby (G1) winner Authorized. He showed his best form last year by defeating the solid older stayer Brigantin in the Prix de Reux (LR) over 2500 metres at Deauville (rider sent him straight to the lead and he made all to hold Brigantin quite safely by a neck).

VEREMA, the only filly in the line-up, is the most likely improver. Having run to Globeform 107p in France last year, she needs to improve to figure here but her weight pull means that she does not have to improve all that much to finish in the top three.

AVERROES produced GF 112 when second in this race last year, 2 lengths behind Opinion Poll, but has not been able to get close to that mark since. The 2012 Dubai Gold Cup may not have been a reliable formguide, as the race was re-run at the end of the day after a fatal accident in the first running. The right horse won it but the formlines behind him were probably a bit false.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 1 IMPERIAL MONARCH
B: 3 CAVALRYMAN, 7 SADDLER'S ROCK
C: 6 VEREMA, 8 TENENBAUM


RECOMMENDED BETS

WIN: 1 IMPERIAL MONARCH

4 EXACTAS:

A: 1 to beat 3, 7
B: 3, 7 to beat 1

30 TRIFECTAS

A: 1 with 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 10 with 2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 10







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