Globeform
    Printed from http://www.globeform.com Visit the website for more    

Hardwicke: Await The Dawn too good
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2011-06-18 03:10:57 (First published: 2011-06-18 02:32:17 )


Royal Ascot 18 June:

This race has often been a stepping stone to the prestigious King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (G1), run over the same mile and a half trip here at Ascot in late July, and the Aidan O'Brien trained favourite Await The Dawn might put himself into the mix for that race if he performs as expected in the Hardwicke Stakes (G2) on the last day of the world's biggest racing feast.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
HARDWICKE STAKES (G2)

Royal Ascot 18 June 2011 – 4yo plus – 1 ½ miles

Runners presented with best
Globeform rating, sire, trainer / jockey

Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds.
One length equals 1,5lb over this distance


123p - AWAIT THE DAWN (Giant's Causeway) / A O'Brien / R Moore
118 - POET (Pivotal) / C Cox / A Kirby
117 - HARRIS TWEED (Hernando) / W Haggas / R Hughes
117 - CAMPANOLOGIST (Kingmambo) / S bin Suroor / T Durcan
115 - LAHEEB (Cape Cross) / R Varian / R Hills
114p - PASSION FOR GOLD (Medaglia d'Oro) / S bin Suroor / L Dettori
114p - CALVADOS BLUES (Lando) / M Al Zarooni / J Murtagh
113 - DRUNKEN SAILOR (Tendulkar) / L Cumani / O Peslier
111 - KINGS GAMBIT (Silvano) / T Tate / J Spencer

OUT: AFSARE


GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

AWAIT THE DAWN produced the best seasonal debut seen so far this year in England when cantering home by 4 ½ lengths from Distant Memories in the Huxley Stakes (G3) over 10.5 furlongs at Chester in May. He had been impressive in winning his two races Ireland last year, and was at one stage under consideration for the Champion Stakes (G1) at Newmarket, but allowed more time to develop and bypassed that event. The way he finished off his race at Chester suggests that 1 ½ miles is his best trip, and he will be hard to beat here. Another clear-cut win could see him joining stable companion St. Nicholas Abbey in the “King George” at this course next month. Await The Dawn has been put up at Evens by some bookmakers and that is good value. He is almost certain to be odds-on by the time of the start.

HARRIS TWEED, a relentless improver last year, was not helped by the firm ground when coming up well short in third behind St. Nicholas Abbey in the Ormonde Stakes (G3) at Chester in May. St. Nicholas Abbey went on to an impressive win in the Coronation Cup (G1) at Epsom and is now favourite for the King George. Conditions will me much more to Harris Tweed's liking here, and this imposing, strong front-runner may be the value option for the Exacta betting. Picking the most likely danger to the favourite is not easy, however, as a group of three or four are quite closely matched.

POET produced the form of his life when a game second to Derby and Prix de l'Arc champion Workforce at Sandown Park in May but has since run well below that level of form in France. He loves soft ground and could go well, though the distance is a bit further than what he prefers.

PASSION FOR GOLD (back to winning for after an interrupted career) and CALVADOS BLUES, two of Godolphin's three runners, are both improving types. Passion For Gold shaped well on his win at Lingfield four weeks ago and it is well worth noting that he won a G1 on heavy ground in Italy as a juvenile in 2009. Calvados Blues suffered interference when running so well in the Sheema Classic (G1) at Meydan in March, when he was third behind Rewilding – who won the Prince Of Wales Stakes (G1) here on Wednesday. Like Rewilding, Calvados Blues has not run since World Cup night. The third one representing the “boys in blue” is CAMPANOLOGIST. He is well established at this level, has won over this course and distance and he is coming off a second (albeit easily beaten) behind So You Think in the Tattersalls Gold Cup (G1) in Ireland. Campanologist won a Group One on soft ground in Germany last year. It was not a very hot G1 but he showed that he handles testing conditions, and that can count for a lot at Ascot on Saturday. He was not fit when well beaten on his seasonal debut at Newmarket in late April (behind Dandino in G2) and his run in Ireland represented better form. He is on his way back now and also looks a very possible exacta horse.


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 2 AWAIT THE DAWN
B: 4 CAMPANOLOGIST, 6 HARRIS TWEED, 9 PASSION FOR GOLD
C: 3 CALVADOS BLUES


RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 2 Await The Dawn

4 EXACTAS: 2 with 3, 4, 6, 9







Copyright (c) Globeform, 2001-2012