Globeform
    Printed from http://www.globeform.com Visit the website for more    

King's Stand: 33-1 shot makes a lot of appeal
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2011-06-13 08:47:02


Royal Ascot:

With 19 sprinters set to go to post, the 5-furlong King's Stand Stakes (G1) looks wide open. One of our main fancies can be backed at 33-1 and it's well worth taking a shot at this improver.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
KING'S STAND STAKES (G1)

Royal Ascot 14 June 2011 5 furlongs

Runners presented with best Globeform rating, sire, trainer / jockey
Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds. One length equals 3lb over this distance


122? - OVERDOSE (Starborough) J Roszival / A Suborics
119 - SOLE POWER (Kyllachy) E Lynam / W Lordan
119 - SKINGSGATE NATIVE (Mujadil) Sir M Stoute / R Moore
116 - SWISS DIVA (Pivotal) mare D Elsworth / I Mendizabal
118 - STAR WITNESS (Starcraft) D O'Brien / S Arnold
117 - WAR ARTIST (Orpen) M Klug / O Peslier
112p - HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN (Kitten's Joy) * filly W Ward / J Rosario
112 - SWEET SANETTE (Jallad) mare A Millard / J Spencer
113 - PROHIBIT (Oasis Dream) R Cowell / J Crowley
114 - BRIDGETOWN (Speightstown) T Pletcher / J Velazquez
110 - IVER BRIDGE LAD (Avonbridge) J Ryan / M O'Connell
110 - MAR ADENTRO (Marju) R Chotard / J Victoire
110? - MONSIEUR CHEVALIER (Chevalier) R Hannon / R Hughes
109 - GROUP THERAPY (Choisir) D Barron / S Kelly
107 - TANGERINE TREES (Mind Games) B Smart / T Eaves
107 - ASTROPHYSICAL JET (Dubawi) filly E McMahon / G Gibbons
107 - ARCTIC (Shamardal) T Collins / P Shanahan
105 - ROSE BLOSSOM (Pastoral Pursuits) filly R Fahey / P Hanagan
103 - STONE OF FOLCA (Kodiac) J Best / L Morris


Globeform WFA scale: Euro 3yo 5lb below older horses / *US 3yo 4lb below older horses

Fillies & mares: 3lb weight concession add three pounds to ratings for comparison with males


GLOBEFORM NOTES

OVERDOSE - Wins the race on his 2009 form but had problems, dull on UK debut, likes soft ground
SOLE POWER Surprise winner of G1 over 5 fur. last year, back to form last out, can improve again
KINGSGATE NATIVE Solid at his best, this is his trip, but not all that reliable, 2nd to Sole Power last out
SWISS DIVA (Pivotal) Brilliant with three sprint wins on the bounce in France last year, interesting
STAR WITNESS - Classy sprinter no doubt, but quite how his form justifies favouritism is hard to see
WAR ARTIST - Battle hardened sprinter who can make an impact, just pipped by JJ The Jet Plane in Dubai
HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN 3yo filly set track record at Keeneland, she is fast early and may last, improving
SWEET SANETTE Placed efforts behind Sacred Kingdom in HK looks good on paper, but he's fading now
PROHIBIT Game and genuine sprinter with experience but not quite up to winning at this level
BRIDGETOWN Todd Pletcher's charge ran second to Regally Ready at Churchill, needs to improve again
IVER BRIDGE LAD Out of his depth
MAR ADENTRO - Out of his depth
MONSIEUR CHEVALIER Explosive sprinter in 2009, missed out in 2010, ran a bit flat on comeback
GROUP THERAPY - Out of his depth
TANGERINE TREES Handed soft lead when winning Listed race at Newmarket
ASTROPHYSICAL JET - Out of her depth
ARCTIC (Shamardal) - Out of his depth
ROSE BLOSSOM - Out of her depth
STONE OF FOLCA - Out of his depth


GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

OVERDOSE
, so brilliant back in 2009 but under a cloud in 2010 (when he also showed signs of going the wrong way temperamentally) has the highest Globeform rating but that goes some way back now and after his bleak effort at Haydock Park last month the Hungarian star is hard to fancy. He was never able to dominate in the Temple Stakes (G2) and seemed to lose interest eventually fading out of it to finish seventh, beaten 4 lengths behind Sole Power. Overdose is much better than that showing or at least he has been much better and he cannot be written off entirely. His rider says that any rain will help his chances, and the English summer has turned quite wet these days. Either way, others make more appeal.

SOLE POWER returned to form with a game win over KINGSGATE NATIVE in the Temple Stakes (G2) at Haydock Park last month, finishing the 5-furlong contest to some effect for a decisive win (Overdose well behind), and he will probably take all the beating at Ascot where this event is his only task (others are shooting for both the King's Stand and Golden Jubilee on Saturday). This Irish raider was a 100-1 shock winner of the Nunthorpe Stakes (G1) over 5 furlongs at York in England last year, beating the heavy favourite Starspangledbanner by 1 lengths after coming with a strong finish to lead 50 yards from the winning post. Sole Power, a gelded son Kyllachy, had won twice over the minimum trip before but in considerably lower grades and it really was the shock of the season in England, though his Nunthorpe win was no fluke. Starspangledbanner ran below his best at York but he had previously won both the Golden Jubilee (G1) at Royal Ascot and July Cup (G1) at Newmarket and was the top sprinter in Europe in 2010. Sole Power was unable to produce his best at Meydan on Dubai World Cup night in Martch, he needed the race when beaten at Newmarket in the spring and ran close to his best when winning at York. He is good enough to beat all of these, and he is also a possible improver.

HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN a very fast filly representing Kenneth and Sarah Ramsey, is way overpriced at 33-1 for the first big sprint of the week. Holiday For Kitten, a daughter of the brilliant turf champion Kitten's Joy, was most impressive when landing the Giant's Causeway Stakes (LR) over 6 furlongs over the Polytrack at Keeneland last time out. Holiday For Kitten had a low weight that day so ratings will never bring her high on anybody's list but she gets a nice weight concession here, and it was the way she blitzed her rivals that makes her a 'must bet' for the 5-furlong King's Stand. She was fast out of the gates, set sharp fractions in front and when one would expect her to fold up, she just kept on running hard all the way to the line, beating Wild About Marie by half a length. The winning time was 1.02,78 and a new track record.

The Giant's Causeway was originally scheduled for the turf course but taken off due to rain, though have no worries about Holiday For Kitten's abilities on the lawn. She had previously gained a solid allowance win over 5 furlongs on turf at Gulfstream Park, where she beat Rosa Salvage by 1 lengths. Last year, Holiday For Kitten showed enough stamina to take second in the one-mile Miesque Stakes (G3) at Hollywood Park (one of the top turf races for juvenile fillies in California). She certainly has an interesting profile, this King's Stand runner, and her trainer Wesley Ward has tasted success at Royal Ascot already. Holiday For Kitten will break faster than most, that's for sure, she has a good post position and if she gets loose on the lead (which is not all unlikely) we could well get an upset result here.

WAR ARTIST an experienced and tough sprinter who was just caught in the last stride when beaten a nose by South African star JJ The Jet Plane in the Al Quoz Sprint (G2) at Meydan in March, also has a good shot. He is now with a new trainer but moving stables does not seem to bother this son of Orpen, and he has the services of Olivier Peslier in the saddle. SWISS DIVA, who had probably lost her form when running below par in last year's Prix de l'Abbaye (G1) at Longchamp, is interesting at a good price. She had been so impressive in three straight wins over the minimum trip in France previously and a repeat of her best will see her going close.
STAR WITNESS has been talked up as another Australian champion and he has strong credentails, but his form is not as good as the likes of previous winners Choisir, Miss Andretti and Scenic Blast, and he is poor value at around 4-1. This is an open affair. No horse should be below 7-1.


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 10 SOLE POWER
B: 19 HOLIDAY FOR KITTEN
C: 5 KINGSGATE NATIVE, 13 WAR ARIST, 17 SWISS DIVA
D: 8 OVERDOSE, 11 STAR WITNESS

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 10 Sole Power

EW / Win & Show: 19 Holiday For Kitten

16 EXACTAS

A: 10 with 5, 13, 17, 19
B: 5, 13, 17, 19 with 10

C: 19 with 5, 10, 13, 17
D: 5, 10, 13, 17 with 19







Copyright (c) Globeform, 2001-2012