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The Coventry: 25-1 and 16-1 shots are 'must' bets
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2011-06-13 05:56:56 (First published: 2011-06-13 05:17:56 )


Royal Ascot:

Now fewer than 23 juveniles have been drawn for this year's edition of the Coventry Stakes (G2), and it looks an open affair. Aidan O'Brien sends his recent Listed winner Power across from Ireland, and this colt is vying for favouritism with the Barry Hills trained maiden winner Mezmaar. Two others make more appeal in this office, however, and at 16-1 and 25-1 they should both be backed.

Plucking talented horses from other stables is nothing new to Godolphin, Sheikh Mohammed's powerful operation, and they recently bought the colt COMMISSAR from Paul Cole's team after he had produced an impressive performance to win at Newmarket. He looks a good bet in the 6-furlong Coventry Stakes (G2).

Commissar made his debut at Newbury, where he started co-favourite with the precocious Magic City, who proved too sharp on the day and won in good style. Cpmmissar had to settle for third. He took a big step forward on his next start, to beat off a decent bunch with a combination of speed and stamina over 5 furlongs at Newmarket. Commissar is a big, strong colt and just the type to progress as the season goes on. He has been put up as a 12-1 chance for the Coventry and, although this is an open race, that looks much too big.

B Fifty Two, another Newmarket winner, can be backed at around 25-1 and that is also very tempting. He battled on really well to beat the odds-on favourite Lilbourne Lad by a head on his third start and Lilbourne Lad went on to an impressive win in a minor event in Ireland on his next start. B Fifty Two also made his debut in Magic City's maiden race at Newbury, where he was beaten a long way, and he is a fast improving sort who should not be underetimated.

Power, representing Aidan O'Brien's team, is coming off a narrow but so game win in a Listed race over 5 furlongs at The Curragh, where he just got the better of the previous winner Tough As Nails. Power will improve and he will also relish this step up to 6 furlongs. He has an obvious chnace, while the once raced maiden winner Mezmaar is another to consider. Trained by Barry Hills, this son of Teofilo looked well above average when winning over this distance at Haydock Park in May (led two furlongs out and beat Fort Bastion readily by 1 lengths).


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 6 COMMISSAR
B: 2 B FIFTY TWO, 14 MEZMAAR, 17 POWER

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 6 Commissar

EW / Win & Show: 2 B Fifty Two

6 Exactas

A: 6 with 2, 14, 17
B: 2, 14, 17 with 6

D: 2 with 6, 14, 17
E: 6, 14, 17 with 2


DRAW PLAYS:

Mezmaar (1) and Commissar (6) have been drawn low and should be combined in extra exactas, as should the pair Power (19) and B Fifty Two (20) who are drawn together on the stands' side.







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