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Queen Anne Stakes: Goldikova goes for back-to-back wins
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2011-06-13 03:11:20


Royal Ascot:

The big meeting opens with a fantastic card on day one, when the ultimate highlight is the Queen Anne Stakes (G1) – where last year's champion Goldikova is set to clash with the English star Canford Cliffs, as well as Cape Blanco, an Irish Derby winner taking an interesting drop in distance. The bookmakers see this as a two-horse affair but don't be so sure about that – Cape Blanco has a tactical advantage in this straight mile contest.



GLOBEFORM RATINGS
QUEEN ANNE STAKES (G1)

Royal Ascot 14 June 2011 – 1 mile straight

Runners presented with best
Globeform rating, sire, trainer / jockey

Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds.
One length equals 2lb over this distance


127 - GOLDIKOVA (Anabaa) F Head / O Peslier
124 - CANFORD CLIFFS (Tagula) R Hannon / R Hughes
124 - CAPE BLANCO (Galileo) A O'Brien / J Spencer
118 - RIO DE LA PLATA (Rahy) S bin Suroor / L Dettori
117 - CITYSCAPE (Selkirk) R Charlton / R Moore
113 - RANSOM NOTE (Red Ransom) B Hills / M Hills
107 - FLASH DANCE (Zamindar) F Head / M Barzalona

Goldikova and Flash Dance get a 3lb sex allowance – add three pounds to their ratings for direct comparison with the males


GLOBEFORM NOTES

GOLDIKOVA - Brilliant mare deserves to be fav., though not at her best winning French G1 on comeback
CANFORD CLIFFS – Obvious danger on form, impressive G1 win over straight mile on reappearance
CAPE BLANCO – Won Derby and 10-furlong Irish Champion St. last year – when making all, a big danger
RIO DE LA PLATA – 6yo looked better than ever at Epsom on Derby day, ran big race under tough weight
CITYSCAPE – Readily beaten by Dick Turpin in the spring, looks to be up against it here
RANSOM NOTE – Stepped up on previous form when readied to win early season G2 at Newmarket
FLASH DANCE – Pacemaker for Goldikova, will she be pressed on the lead by Cape Blanco?


GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

Goldikova's pacemaker Flash Dance is unlikely to have been added to this field in an attempt at setting as strong a pace as possible – her task on this trip to England is probably to go to the lead and try to slow things down a bit, but will it work out as planned?

This may be getting a bit “too clever” but there is actually a chance that both Goldikova and Canford Cliffs will get beaten in this straight mile contest. I quite agree that they are two top class performers but neither was particularly impressive in their most recent race (they both won though) and I wonder if 8-1 is way too big a price for Aidan O'Brien's runner CAPE BLANCO. This drop down to a mile is interesting for the Ballydoyle contender. He was really powerful when going off in front all the way to outclass Rip Van Winkle and Twice Over the Irish Champion Stakes (G1) over 10 furlongs last year and he posseses good tactical speed. Let's see him taking on Goldikova's pacemaker early on here – and then see what happens. It is not at all impossible that Cape Blanco, who was a good fourth behind Planteur, Sarafina and Cirrus des Aigles in the Prix Ganay (G1) in France last time out, can draw the sting out of the two principals and make this a test of stamina. This tactical advantage makes him an interesting value bet.

The form of the Prix Ganay has received three solid boosts since. Sarafina was very impressive as she hacked up in the Prix Corrida (G2) next time out and Cirrus des Aigles, who was third in the Ganay, gave Goldikova a fright in the Prix d'Ispahan (G1) three weeks ago. Cirrus des Aigles finished really well in that contest, and Goldikova was all out to hold him by a neck. (Also check out how Cirrus des Aigles did in the La Coupe (G2) at Maisons-Laffitte on Monday). Silver Pond, who was sixth in the Ganay and had been fourth to Planteur in a G2 in April, won the Grand Prix de Chantilly (G2) two weeks ago. The Ganay certainly is a key race. Cape Blanco was fourth in it, on his first start since break following the Dubai World Cup (G1) – where he was also fourth – and he can be expected to be on his way back to top form now. Since he has more stamina than Goldikova and Canford Cliffs, any rain may also count in his favour.

8-1 is way too big about this runner.


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 2 CAPE BLANCO
B: 1 CANFORD CLIFFS, 7 GOLDIKOVA

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 2 Cape Blanco

4 EXACTAS

1 and 2 reversed / boxed
2 and 7 reversed / boxed

6 TRIFECTAS

1: 2
2: 1 – 5 – 7
3: 1 – 5 – 7






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