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BC Juvenile Fillies & Juvenile Fillies Turf
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2009-11-06 03:08:00 (First published: 2009-11-01 14:08:05 )


Santa Anita: Evenly matched fields are expected for the two juvenile fillies' contests at the Breeders' Cup meeting.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES (G1)

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 1/16 miles Pro-Ride

Purse: $2 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings most recent starts (l-to-r)


109 – NEGLIGEE (Northern Afleet) / J Terranova / ?P - ?p – 109p / R Maragh
107 – DEVIL MAY CARE (Malibu Moon) / T Pletcher / ?p – 107p / J Velazquez
107 – SHE BE WILD (Offlee Wild) / W Catalano / ?P – 104p – 107p / J Leparoux
106 – BLIND LUCK (Pollard’s Vision) / J Hollendorfer / ?p – 100p – 106p / T Baze
105 – BEAUTICIAN (Dehere) / K McPeek / 93p – 105 – 101 / R Albarado
…? – CONNIE AND MICHAEL (Roman Ruler) / M McPeek / ?P / K Desormeaux
102 – ZILVA (Successful Appeal) / G Motion / ?p - ?p – 102p / J Rose
101 – ALWAYS A PRINCESS (Leroidesanimaux) / B Baffert / ?p – 101p / G Gomez
…? – BIOFUEL (Stormin Fever) / R Baker / ?p - ?p - ?p / E R Da Silva
100 – BICKERSONS (Silver Deputy) / J B Kelly / ?p – 89 – 100 / J Rosario
..95 – CHAMPAGNE D’ORO (Medglia d’Oro) / J Daley / 0 – 95p – 90p / M Garcia
…? – MS VANEZZA (Successful Appeal) / J Vazquez / ?p - ?p / J S Rocco Jr


GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

NEGLIGEE
was visually so impressive in the Alcibiades Stakes (G1) at Keeneland a month ago, and she gets the vote, in what is a tricky contest. Mainly fillied with lightly raced types, and thus with several open to plenty of improvement, the Juvenile Fillies is a race where we could get an upset. Three names do stick out on what we know about these, however, and Negligee is the most likeable of the three. She won by half a length from the previously unbeaten SHE BE WILD at Keeneland but was much the best and looked like a runner ready for serious things. This is serious, and she will have to transfer the form to Santa Anita, and step up again, to follow up. A strong filly with good tactical speed and a late kick, she has the class you are looking for in championship races, and juveniles often do well over new tracks. The Pro-Ride will hardly be an excuse for Negligee.

DEVIL MAY CARE ships in from the East Coast, with wins at Saratoga and Belmont on her CV, and Todd Pletcher’s filly is definitely also one to consider. After breaking her maiden at Saratoga, she jumped right into the highest grade and beat Awesome Maria (previously impressive in the Matron) by a head, as the pair finished well clear of the third placed Noona Mia. Then there was a ‘mile’ back to the rest of them, and Devil May Care’s form appears solid. Not many fillies run like that on their second career outing. A late foal, she has just the right profile to improve significantly again.

BLIND LUCK, trained by Jerry Hollendorfer and a winner of the Oak Leaf Stakes (G1) here last month (always a significant prep), is the local favorite. She is coming up the traditional route, having run also in the 7-furlong Del Mar Debutante (G1), where she finished really well to be second a length behind the very smart Mi Sueno. Interestingly, the Juvenile Fillies Turf runner La Nez checked in third that day and how she performs earlier on the card will give us an indication to Blind Luck’s chances. Though Blind Luck moved forward in the Oak Leaf and we know she is classy. She sat off the pace once again in the 8.5-fuirlong contest, and delivered a late kick that took her first past the post, 2 ½ lengths ahead of Always a Princess, who beat Bickersons by a neck for second. Most likely, Blind Luck has the measure of these two again, and she is in with an obvious chance of winning this Juvenile Fillies.

SHE BE WILD took three races at Arlington Park prior to her second behind Negligee in the Alcibiades (G1) and she should not be written off. She won for fun when landing the Arlington-Washington Lassie (G3) in September and probably learnt a lot from her run at Keeneland.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 10 NEGLIGEE
B: 7 DEVIL MAY CARE
C: 3 BLIND LUCK, 8 SHE BE WILD
D: 1 ZILVA

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 10 Negligee

6 EXACTAS

A: 7 and 10 boxed / reversed (2)
B: 10 with 3, 8 (2)
C: 7 with 3, 8 (2)

20 TRIFECTAS

A: 10 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8 (4)
B: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7 (4)
C: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8 (12)

36 SUPERFECTAS

A: 10 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8 (12)
B: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7 with 1, 3, 6, 8 (12)
C: 10 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 1, 3, 6, 8 with 7 (12)


2008 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES (G1)

1 – STARDOM BOUND (Tapit) C Paasch / J M Smith - Globeform 115p

2 – Dream Express (Bernstein) - GF 112
3 – Sky Diva (Sky Mesa) - GF 109

Won by: 1 ½ lengths, 1 ½ lengths




GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

Santa Anita 6 November 2009 – 1 mile Turf

Purse: $1 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings most recent starts (l-to-r), jockeys


108 – JUNIA TEPZIA (Rock Of Gibraltar) / P Schiergen / ?P – 108p / K Fallon
105 – LA NEZ (Storm Creek) / E Kruljac / ?p – 102p – 105p / M Smith
105 – LILLIE LANGTRY (Danehill Dancer) / A O’Brien / 105 – 100 – 99 / J Murtagh
105 – HOUSE OF GRACE (Limehouse) / K McPeek / ?P – 105p / M Luzzi
104 – TAPITSFLY (Tapit) / D Romas / ?p – 104p – 99 / R Albarado
104 – SMART SEATTLE (Smart Strike) / G Motion / 100p – 104p / J Rose
102 – JUNGLE TALE (Lion Heart) / S Asmussen / ?p - ?p – 102p / S Bridgemohan
101 – ELUSIVE GALAXY (Elusive City) / B Cecil / 101 – 98 / R Bejarano
..99 – HATHEER (Storm Cat) / K McLaughlin / 89p – 99p / A Garcia
…? – ROSE CATHERINE (Speightstown) / T Pletcher / ?p - ?P / J Castellano
..96 – LISA’S KITTEN (Kitten’s Joy) M Maker / 88p – 90p – 96p / J Leparoux
..95 – POTOSINA (Cactus Ridge) / M Shuman / 85p – 95p / J Velazquez

Reserves

..99 – DAD’S CRAZY (Langfuhr) / T Pletcher / 0 – 89p – 99p / G Gomez
..94 – IN THE SLIPS (More Than Ready) / J Mullins / ?p – 85p – 94p / G Gomez


GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

JUNIA TEPZIA
, brought over from Italy by Team Valor, gets Kieren Fallon in the saddle and this looks a prticularly strong combination. The Irish bred daughter of Rock Of Gibraltar ran a remarkable race on her debut at Merano in August. Racing over a mile, she ran totally against a well-established track bias to win by 2 ½ lengths from Lolamar. A break followed and Junia Tepzia resurfaced in the Premio Coolmore (LR) over 7.5 furlongs at San Siro in early October. She was up in the firing line from gate to wire, and scored comfortably by 3 ¼ lengths from Padana. This is clearly a filly going places and, trained by Peter Schiergen and ridden by Fallon, she has a lot going for her. With normal improvement, she will not be easy to beat.

LA NEZ won the Cal Cup Juvenile Fillies in determined style last time out, a success that will have done her confidence a world of good, following her battling third in the hotly contested Del Mar Debutante (G1) four weeks earlier on (behind Mi Suente and Juvenile Fillies bound Blind Luck). This Storm Creek filly has an experience edge on many of these rivals, her form is bordering on Grade 1 winning class, and she is a Californian. The third placed filly in the Cal Cup, Whispering Hush, came back to win a decent maiden at this venue last Saturday.

LILLIE LANGTRY, a precocious but now also somewhat exposed filly from Ireland, has shown form both in her homeland and in England giving her a shot but, as a Ballydoyle runner, she will almost certainly be overbet in this race and offer no value whatsoever. It took her a long time to assert her superiority in lesser company last time out, and she makes only limited appeal.

HOUSE OF GRACE, representing Ken McPeek, and the Graham Motion trainee SMART SEATTLE were separated by just a nose when they dominated the Jessamine Stakes at Keeneland three weeks back. HATHEER was a well-beaten third. Dropping back to a mile may not be to House of Grace’s liking, as she came from off the pace over 8.5 furlongs at Keeneland, while Smart Seattle raced closer to the action and gets chance of turning the tables this weekend.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 11 JUNIA TEPZIA
B: 5 LA NEZ
C: 3 SMART SEATTLE, 7 HOUSE OF GRACE, 8 LILLIE LANGTRY

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 11 Junia Tepzia

EXACTAS

A: 5 and 11 boxed / reversed (2)
B: 5 with 3, 7, 8 (3)
C: 3, 7, 8 with 5 (3)

TRIFECTAS

A: 11 with 3, 5, 7, 8 with 3, 5, 7, 8 (12)
B: 3, 5, 7, 8 with 11 with 3, 5, 7, 8 (12)
C: 3, 5, 7, 8 with 3, 5, 7, 8 with 11 (12)


2008 BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

1 – MARAM (Sahm) C Brown / J Lezcano - Globeform 112p

2 – Heart Shaped (Storm Cat) - GF 112
3 – Laragh (Tapit) - GF 110p

Won by: Nose, 1 length









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