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Breeders’ Cup Sprint: Clash of generations
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2009-11-06 02:46:32 (First published: 2009-10-19 05:49:35 )


Santa Anita Saturday:

Top local sprinter Zensational, representing Bob Baffert, and the Ian Wilkes trained star Capt. Candyman Can are running for the classic generation in the Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), where high class older horses like Gayego, the Ancient Title winner, and last year's BC Sprint runner-up Fatal Bullet are ready to test them.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP SPRINT (G1)

Santa Anita 7 November 2009 – 6 furlongs Pro-Ride

Purse: $2 million

Contenders presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF most recent starts (l-to-r), jockeys


121 – ZENSATIONAL (Unbridled’s Song) / B Baffert / 116p – 119p – 121p / V Espinoza
121 – FATAL BULLET (Red Bullet) / R Baker / 121 in 2008 / ?p – 0 – 117p / R Da Silva
119 – FLEETING SPIRIT (Invicible Spirit) filly / J Noseda / 119 – 118p – 112 – 114p / J Murtagh
120 – GAYEGO (Gilded Time) / S bin Suroor / 120 – 114 - ?p – 118p / G Gomez
120 – COST OF FREEDOM (Cee’s Tizzy) / J Sadler / GF 120p in 2008 / 98 – 111 / T Baze
119 – CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN (Candy Ride) / T Wilkes / 117p – 119p – 119p / J Castellano
114 – CROWN OF THORNS (Repent) / R Mandella / ?p – 114 / R Bejarano
112 – DANCING IN SILKS (Black Minnaloushe) / C Gaines / ?p – 112 – 112 / J Rosario
106 - JOIN IN THE DANCE (Sky Mesa) / T Pletcher / 106 - 100 - ? – 95 – 0 / J Velazquez

Fleeting Spirit receives 3lb sex allowance – add three pounds to rating for direct comparison with the males.

ZENSATIONAL, with four straight wins coming into this race, will take a lot of betting action. He is a fast improving three-year-old, that may well run the older horses off their feet here, though he will be getting pressure from FATAL BULLET, who is drawn in stall three and has a somewhat better starting point than the favorite. Drawn in one, Zensational’s jockey has to send him to the lead, and this makes him vulnerable. Fatal Bullet is also likely to pay a price if they hook up in a speed duel.

GAYEGO, strong and smooth in the Ancient Title (G1) over this course and distance last month, and the poweful closer CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN are two that will love it of they go too fast up front early on. Both can finish off realy well from off the pace, and why not take a shot at this exacta. Capt. Candyman Can, overpriced at 15-1 on the morning line, was giving 4lb to Fatal Bullet when they ran first and second in the Pheonix (G3) at Keeneland in October. In all probabilty, the Candyman turns that fiorm around on Saturday.

FLEETING SPIRIT won the July Cup (G1) over a straight six-furlongs at Newmarket in the summer and she ran another cracker to be second in the Prix de l’Abbaye (G1) over 5 furlongs at Longchamp in October. She is one of the best sprinters in Europe but hard to fancy here, in a turning sprint against some true American speedballs. She has been tricky at the gate and she has also been seen coming off a true line at the finish.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 5 GAYEGO
B: 8 CAPT. CANDYMAN CAN
C: 1 ZENSATIONAL, 3 FATAL BULLET

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN BETS: 5 Gayego (70%) and 8 Capt. Candyman Can (30&)

EXACTA BOX; 5 and 8

4 TRIFECTAS

A: 5, 8 with 5, 8 with 1, 3
B: 5, 8 with 1, 3 with 5, 8


2008 BREEDERS’ CUP SPRINT (G1)

1 – MIDNIGHT LUTE (Real Quiet) B Baffert / G Gomez - Globeform 130

2 – Fatal Bullett - GF 121
3 – Street Boss - GF 119

Won by 1 ¾ lengths, 1 ¾ lengths








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