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Breeders' Cup Mile: Goldikova aiming for repeat
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2009-11-12 13:04:57 (First published: 2009-10-09 06:44:05 )


Santa Anita

Goldikova, so good when beating the previous champion Kip Deville in the Breeders' Cup Mile (G1) last year, goes for back-to-back wins in the race on Saturday.

Trained by Freddie Head, the man who rode Miesque to Mile wins in '87-88, Goldikova lost on her most recent start in France. She was below her best when third in the Prix de la Foret (G1) but that was over an inadequate seven furlongs. Her form over a mile stands well above anything else seen this year. If she repeats it, she wins again - even in competition with the likes of Khalid Abdullah's progressive colt Zacinto and Godolphin's strong duo Gladiatorus and Delegator. But, there is a big but here... she drew the outside post.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS' CUP MILE (G1)

Santa Anita 7 November 2009 - 1 mile Turf

Runners presented with best Globeform ratings,
sires, trainers, GF ratings achieved in most recent starts (l-to-r), jockeys


127 - GOLDIKOVA (Anabaa) filly / F Head / 116P 121p - 127 - 114 / O Peslier
124 - GLADIATORUS (Silic) / S bin Suroor / 124 - 0 - 0 - 113p - 120p / A Ajtebi
121 - ZACINTO (Dansili) / Sir Michael Stoute / 108P - 114p - 121p / R Moore
119 - DELEGATOR (Dansili) / S bin Suroor / 119p - 117p - 115 / L Dettori
117 - JUSTENUFFHUMOR (Distorted Humor) / K McLaughlin / ?P - ?P - 116p - 117P - 101p / A Garcia
117 - COURT VISION (Gulch) / R Dutrow Jr / 110 - 117 - 114 - 100 - 116 / Court Vision
117 - COWBOY CAL (Giant’s Causeway) / T Pletcher / 117 - 104 - 114 - 116 - 117 / J Velazquez
117 - FERNELEY (Ishiguru) / Ben Cecil / 110 - 111p - 117 / R Bejarano
116 - WHATSTHESCRIPT (Royal Applause) / J Sadler / 114 - 110 - 110 - 110 / K Desormeaux
115 - KARELIAN (Bertrando) / G Arnold II / 108 -110 - 111 // 115 / R Maragh
111 - COURAGEUS CAT (Storm Cat) / Bill Mott / ?p - 106p - 111 - 109 / G Gomez

Goldikova gets a 3lb sex allowance, add three pounds to ratings for direct comparison with males.


GLADIATORUS is taken to win the BC Mile, and deny French wonderfilly Goldikova a second win in the race - she drew poorly in the outside stall, she can be a bit temperamental, she ran well below form last time out and she is well worth opposing. If she runs to her best, she wins again but there are doubts. Gladiatorus came back to form with a powerful display in the Premio Vittorio di Capua (G1), after gradually creeping back up the form ladder in his previous races. How this horse can still be backed at double figure for the Breeders’ Cup Mile, is hard to understand. Gladiatorus was a deeply impressive winner of the Dubai Duty Free (G1) at Nad Al Sheba in March, where he led from gate to wire and simply crushed the field. And it was a top class field he beat, with Luca Cumani’s star performer Presvis running on for second and G1 winners like Archipenko, Vodka, Jay Peg and Kip Deville all hopelessly beaten. Gladiatorus joined Godolphin after thIs win and they sent him to England. That was probably a mistake, as a front-runner like him is always more effective on turning tracks. US style racing should bring out the best of him and he holds a leading chance.


GOLIDKOVA needs no introduction. She impressed here last year, when quickening right away from the previous Mile winner Kip Deville to beat him readily. She has notched up four Group One wins in Europe this summer, and her best performance came when she slammed Aqlaam (subsequent G1 winner) by 6 lengths in the Prix Jacques le Marois (G1) at Deauville in August. Her subsequent run in the 7-furlong Prix de la Foret (G1) was about six lengths below her Deauville form, however, and much was made of the draw that day. Truth be told, a Goldikova t the top of her game would have beaten that field under any circumstances. She simply wasn’t at the top of her game.

ZACINTO is the potential big improver among the Europeans, having had onlt five career starts, and he must be respected. The Juddmonte colt performed particularly well when going down by just over a length to Classic contender Rip Van Winkle in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot in September (he had pulled too hard in slowly-run race on his previous start).

DELEGATOR was behind Zacinto at Ascot, where he appeared to run out of stamina. He is better than that showing and probably the type of horse to step up in a two-turn mile on a flat track. He has a lot of speed.

JUSTENUFFHUMOR did not care for the soft ground at Keeneland last out, but his previous form indicates that he is the best of the US based runners. In winning the Bernard Barouch Handicap (G2) at Saratoga in August, Justenuffhumor notched his sixth success on the bounce, and he moved up to Globeform 117P, a rating that puts him right on the heels of the top milers around. Of course, matching strides with last year’s winner Goldikova would require another big step up, but Justenuffhumor figures to be the value bet here. If he had bypassed Keeneland he would have been a much shorter price.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 9 GLADIATORUS
B: 4 DELEGATOR, 8 ZACINTO, 10 JUSTENUFFHUMOR, 11 GOLDIKOVA





2008 BREEDERS’ CUP MILE (G1)

1 - GOLDIKOVA (Anabaa) F Head / O Peslier - Globeform 121p

2 - Kip Deville - GF 120
3 - Whatsthescript - GF 116

Won by 1 ¼ lengths, 2 ½ lengths








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