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Breeders’ Cup Turf: Conduit now even better
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2009-11-06 05:03:57 (First published: 2009-10-07 12:57:41 )


Santa Anita

Having landed last year’s edition of the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) in great style, the English trained colt Conduit is a heavy favorite to repeat on Saturday. Not just because of his powerful display over course and distance last year, but also because his form in Europe this year has been just as good, some might say even better, than what was required to beat Eagle Mountain at the last Breeders’ Cup.

Capturing the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (G1) at Ascot and then running fourth in the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1) at Longchamps has enhanced his value no end this term and a mile and a half on firm ground is just what Conduit loves.

Spanish Moon also trained by Stoute, and the John Gosden trained filly Dar Re Mi are the one who can give him a race for the money.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
BREEDERS’ CUP TURF (G1)

Santa Anita 7 November 2009 – 1 1/2 miles Turf

Purse: $3 million

Contenders presented with best
Globeform ratings, sires, trainers


124 - CONDUIT (Dalakhani) / Sir Michael Stoute / 120p – 116p – 124 – 122 / R Moore
118 – DAR RE MI (Singspiel) / John Gosden / 112p - 117 – 118 – 118 / L Dettori
119 - SPANISH MOON (El Prado) / Sir Michael Stoute / 115 – 119 – 119 / K Fallon
116 - RED ROCKS (Galileo) / Brian Meehan / GF 116 in 2005 / 103 – 0 – 113p / J Leparoux
115 - PRESIOUS PASSION (Royal Anthem) / Mary Hartman / 113 – 115 – 98 – 115 / E Trujillo
115 - TELLING (A. P. Indy) / Steve Hobby / 108 – 108 – 115 – 99 / J Castellano
115 - MONZANTE (Maria’s Mon) / M Mitchell / GF 115 in 2008 / ? – 109p / R Bejarano
…? - ALLEGRE (Orientate) / B Koriner / GF ? / Scratched

Dar Re Mi: 3lb sex allowance, add three pounds to ratings for direct comparison.

GLOBEFORM ANALYSIS

This is a three-horse affair;

CONDUIT
is difficult to oppose and, despite his short odds, he must be the selection as he goes for his second win in the Breeders’ Cup Turf. He was incredibly good over this course and distance last year, he has shown even better form in Europe this season, and he will be tough to beat. After getting going a little late this year – which was by design – Conduit stepped up bigtime to justify favoritism in the King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Stakes (G1) over a mile and a half at Ascot in July. Riding him with his usual confidence, jockey Ryan Moore delivered Conduit with a strong run from off the pace, and the son of Dalakhani ran out a game winner from stable his stable companions Tartan Bearer and Ask. Sir Michael Stoute swept the first three places in the midsummer highlight in England. And now he could well provide the exacta in the Breeders’ Cup Turf.

SPANISH MOON is also in with an excellent chance. He bypassed the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1), where Conduit put up another fine performance to finish fourth (2 ¼ lengths behind Sea The Stars). Spanish Moon is thus a fresh horse, and he is also one that should love a track like Santa Anita, and he’s a possible improver. He landed the Grand Prix de Saint-Cloud (G1) in Paris in June (beating Alpine Rose and Youmzain readily) and he followed up in the Prix Foy (G2) at Longchamp in September. Both these races were run over 12 furlongs. In the Foy, a traditional ‘Arc’ trial, Spanish Moon controlled a moderate pace and had too much left when the dual G1 winner Vision d’Etat attacked close home. Without the front-running Presious Passion in the field, Spanish Moon would be extremely dangerous in the Turf. Kieren Fallon will probably ride him just off the pacesetter, try to steal on run on the Conduit and the filly Dar Re Mi at the top of the lane.

DAR RE MI takes a shot at this rather than the Filly & Mare Turf, and why not. This distance suits her better and she ran so well against males in the Arc, where she checked in fifth, just over three lengths behind Sea The Stars and no more than a length off Conduit. Dar Re Mi had previously put toghether three solid races on the bounce in Grade Ones against her own sex; winning the Pretty Polly Stakes (G1) in Ireland and Yorkshire Oaks (G1) in England – defeating the top 3yo filly Sariska – before passing the post first in the Prtix Vermeille (G1) in France, only to be harshly disqualified. Her effort in the Arc was no surprise at all and Dar Re Mi is such a game and consistent runner. She could well beat them all here. Frankie Dettori takes the ride, a big plus.

If these three Euros run to anything like their best form, they will fill the Trifecta.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 2 CONDUIT
B: 5 DAR RE MI, 7 SPANISH MOON

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 2 Conduit

6 EXACTAS

A: 2 with 5, 7
B: 5, 7 with 2
C: 5, 7 with 5, 7

2 TRIFECTAS

A: 2 with 5, 7 with 5, 7

10 SUPERFECTAS

A: 2 with 5, 7 with 5, 7 with 1, 3, 4, 6, 8


2008 BREEDERS’ CUP TURF (G1)

1 – CONDUIT (Dalakhani) Sir Michael Stoute / R Moore - Globeform 124p

2 – Eagle Mountain - GF 120
3 – Dancing Forever - GF 116

Won by 1 ½ lengths, 2 ¼ lengths







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