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UAE Derby: Desert Party stands out
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2009-03-28 08:43:38 (First published: 2009-03-26 16:29:06 )


Nad Al Sheba Saturday: Godolphin may have a decent contender for the Kentucky Derby (G1) in the Street Cry son Desert Party.

Though if he is to make an impact at Churchill Downs he needs to win, and win well, as he meets twelve rivals in the UAE Derby (G2).

Globeform ratings show him well clear of the field.


GLOBEFORM RATINGS
THE UAE DERBY (G2)

Nad Al Sheba 28 March 2009 – 1800m / 9 fur. dirt

Horses presented with best Globeform, sire, last placings
(most recent first / 0 = worse than 9th) / trainer and jockey.

A “+” after the horse indicates improvement expected.

# = Same jockey as last time out
^ = Better jockey than last time out

113 – DESERT PARTY (Street Cry) + / 1161 / S bin Suroor / L Dettori #
107 – SO SHINY (Indygo Shiny) + f / 4121 / J Barton / F Jara
106 – NAVAL OFFICER (Tale of The Cat) + / 3121 / J Barton / M Kinane #
103 – REGAL RANSOM (Distorted Humor) + / 2281 / S bin Suroor / A Garcia ^
102 – SOY LIBRIANO (Ride The Rails) + / 1212 / M bin Shayfa / A Ajtebi #
101 – RA JUNIOR (Rahy) + / 2124 / B Meehan / J Spencer #
..?+ – LELAH DORAK (Freequent) + / 113 / B Resaque / J Murtagh ^
100 – REDDING COLLIERY (Mineshaft) + / 3312 / H Brown / J Egan #
100 – JOSE ADAN (Crypto Star) GF 100+ in 2008 / GF 93+ / 26d11 / S bin Suroor / T Durcan #
100 – BALCARCE NOV (Romanov) / 4205 / H Brown / W Marwing #
..90 – I AM THE BEST (King’s Best) / 3612 / A Al Raihe / R Ffrench #
..?+ – MUY PONDERADO (Mutakddim) / 5113 / M bin Shayfa / W Smith #
..90 – PASO DE GLORIA (Honour And Glory) + / 411 / M Bin Shayfa / W Supple ^

So Shiny gets a 4lb fillies allowance, add 4lb to rating for direct comaprison with males. However, she is hughly unlikely to perform to GF 107 over this distance.



This Derby field is a bit disappointing, given that we are tallking $2 million dollars here. No US trained or European trained horse in the mix! With current exchange rates, one would think that the British, constantly complaining about poor prize money at home, would turn up, but no.

All the better for Godolphin, who have the heavy favourite in Desert Party, plus a couple of back-ups. He is the banker on the night. This ex-American runner, who joined Saeed bin Suroor from Eoin Harty last autumn, has done everything right so far in his sophomore season and it would come as no big surprise to see him making an impact in the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs in May. First though, he has to win this, and win he will. His two wins at the Carnival, where he landed the 2,000 Guineas is great style, have revealed an upward form curve. He runs like a horse who will appreciate this step up in distance, and it is hard to oppose Desert Party here.

Naval Officer is the most likely danger. A smart juvenile in France last year, this Jerry Baron trainee came with an excellent finish from off the pace when third to Godolphin’s smart colt City Stye on the turf course last time out. Probably well prepared for his first taste of racing action on dirt, Naval Officer will love every yard of this 1800 metres contest, and he is likely to stay on past tiring rivals down the testing Nad Al Sheba straight. As a third choice, one can pick between a few. Regal Ransom, twice in the slipstream of Desert Party already this winter, is one but we are not sure about his stamina. Soy Liberano showed plenty of stamina to beat Jose Adan in the Al Bastakiya, run over the full Derby distance, but what was the form worth? Perhaps the Saud Arabian challenger Lelah Dorak is the answer. Horses from his part of the world are on the way up these days and he had done little wrong so far in his career.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 5 DESERT PARTY
B: 12 NAVAL OFFICER
C: 1 - 3 - 6 - 8 - 10 - 11


1 EXACTA: 5 with 12 (straight exacta)

12 TRIFECTAS

A: 5 with 12 with 1 - 3 - 6 - 8 - 10 - 11 (6)
B: 5 with 1 - 3 - 6 - 8 - 10 - 11 with 12 (6)









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