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Golden Jubilee: Takeover on Target?
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2007-06-23 05:14:45


Royal Ascot Sat: The Australian sprinters are better than the Europeans. That we all know by now. What seems to have escaped most people, however, is the state of affairs in the sprint division in Europe.

It is not good. Quite frankly, we do not have a proper sprint star. If there is one around, it must be a younger horses on the up. Asset could be the answer. He produced a really taking performance on his seasonal debut. His problem today could be the ground though. Any more rain and his chances are reduced.

So, can one go against the fast filly who won the King’s Stand Stakes (G2) in such style on opening day? Miss Andretti has been drawn well again and she will be hard to beat, if she reproduces the form. She is a worthy favourite. We can take a shot against her though.

Firstly, as there is always the danger of a ‘bounce’ when a runner comes back this quickly. Secondly, as she has never been run back in less than eleven days in Australia - and then she lost. And thirdly, because we can expect a big run from the battle hardened globetrotter Takeover Target. He was just ‘prepping’ on Tuesday.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
GOLDEN JUBILEE STAKES (G1)

Royal Ascot 23 June 2007 – 6 furlongs turf

Horses presented with best Globeform, sire, rider

A ‘+’ after horse indicates improvement expected

121 – MISS ANDRETTI (Ihtiram) C Newitt
121 – TAKEOVER TARGET (Celtic Swing) J Ford
120 – ASSET (Marju) + / R Hughes
118 – AMADEUS WOLF (Mozart) + / N Callan
118 – RED CLUBS (Red Ransom) M Hills
117 – MAGNUS (Flying Spur) D Oliver
116 – BYGONE DAYS (Desert King) + / L Dettori
116 - QUITO (Machiavellian) K Darley
116 - FAYR JAG (Fayruz) J Egan
115 – BORDERLESCOTT (Compton Place) R Ffrench
114 - BALTIC KING (Danetime) / Jimmy Fortune
112 – ASSERTIVE (Bold Eagle) / R Moore
112 – AL QASI (Elnadim) / K McEvoy
107 – APPALACHIAN TRAIL (Indian Ridge) T Eaves
110 – PRESTO SHINKO (Shinko Forest) J Bowman
110 – RISING SHADOW (Efisio) J Quinn
112 – SOLDIER’S TALE (Stravinsky) + / J Murtagh
109 – FIRENZE (Efisio) J Spencer
108– WI DUD (Elnadim) M Kinane
105 – DRAYTON (Danetime) M Lordan
105 – HAMOODY (Johannesburg) O Peslier
100 – MASTERSHIP (Best Of The Bests) E Ahern

3lbs sex allowance:

Miss Andretti and Firenze; add three pounds to rating for comparison with males.

Miss Andretti performed right up to her best home form when winning the King’s Stand Stakes (G2) from Dandy Man, Magnus and last year’s winner Takeover Target. There is not much between her at Takeover Target in Australia and he must have a fair chance of beating her this time. His best distance is 6 furlongs, and his trainer has said all along that he has been taking aim at the Golden Jubilee this time.

Takeover Target is as good as ever this year, having won the Doomben 10,000 (G1) over 7 furlongs on his penultimate start. Running up to his best form, he proved half a length too good for Gold Edition that day. He had been second to Bentley Biscuit two weeks earlier. Takeover Target is now 8-1 for the Golden Jubilee. You will be hard pressed to find a better each-way bet.

Get Takeover Target’s essay from the Globeform Annual via the pdf-link below.

TAKEOVER TARGET (Celtic Swing) GF07s

Miss Andretti is established among the best sprinters on turf, she owns good tactical speed and she is coming off four straight wins. Prior to her King’s Stand win, the daughter of Ihtiram (a son of Royal Academy) beat Gold Edition by a head in the Newmarket Handicap (G1) over 6 furlongs at Caulfield (when giving the runner-up 8lbs) and she has never been better.

Magnus, running below his best, was back in fourth. He had been second when Miss Andretti won the 5-furlong Lightning Stakes (G1) at Moonee Valley back in February. That was a good performance by Magnus, as he gave the mare 5lbs and went down by just 1 ½ lengths. Strictly on ratings, that made them equal but Miss Andretti has that little extra class. In between these wins, she was also successful in the Australia Stakes (G1), also over six at Moonee, when beating Any Suggestions by 1 ¼ lengths at odds-on.

The Damien Oliver ridden Magnus was a game third on Tuesday and he is of course in with a chance again. He did show plenty of speed that day. Will he be as good over this stiff six-furlong trip?

Asset would be our selection of firm ground. He was just a few lengths off the best 3-year-olds last year, when he was trained for the 2000 Guineas but proved not to be a miler. Now focusing on sprinting, he should be in for a fine season (in the summer arrives in time…). Asset was visually deeply impressive when he hammered his stable companion Assertive (Listed winner since) in the Abernant Stakes (LR) at Newmarket back in April. He was heavily backed and value for a fair bit more than the 2 ½-length margin. Trained by Richard Hannon, Asset had been working brilliantly prior to this seasonal debut. And who was the only horse in the yard capable of keeping up with him? The filly Indian Ink, who beat the best mile fillies so comprehensively in the Coronation Stakes (G1).

Keep a close eye on the ground, and the times, in the first two races. If it appears to be on the fast side, have a bet on Asset.

Amadeus Wolf finally came good again when winning the Duke Of York Stakes (G2) at York in May. He was a seriously good juvenile but had a lean year in 2006. This often happens to speedy young horses, sometimes it is the trainer’s fault more than the horse – as they are tempted into running over a mile. Amadeus Wolfe won the Middle Park Stakes (G1) in his first season and he is a sprinter through and through. Six furlongs is his perfect trip. He beat Red Clubs by 1 ¼ lengths at York, when in receipt of 4lbs. These filled the next places; Soldier’s Tale, Rising Shadow, Assertive and Al Qasi - who won so well here at Ascot last year.

Level weights gives Red Clubs a good chance against Amadeus Wolf today. Do not underestimate this colt. He is rock solid. As a juvenile, he won the Coventry Stakes (G2) on soft ground (at York), and last year he won the Diadem Stakes (G3) over this course and distance. The ground was good to soft and Red Clubs was drawn right over on the far side. Looks familiar? Yes it does, today he is drawn 22 of 22. He can easily be backed at 25-1 and that really is great value.


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 5 ASSET, 16 TAKEOVER TARGET
B: 18 MISS ANDRETTI
C: 2 AMADEUS WOLF, 13 RED CLUBS (1 AL QASI)

RECOMMENDED BETS


EXACTAS

A: 5 and 16 reversed / boxed

B: 5, 16 with 18
B: 18 with 5, 16

C: 5, 16 with 1, 2, 13
D: 2, 13 with 1, 5, 16







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