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Gold Cup: Yeats week’s shortest favourite
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-06-21 10:58:20 (First published: 2007-06-19 05:27:19 )


Royal Ascot Thur: Last year’s winner of the Ascot Gold Cup (G1), the Irish trained stayer Yeats, looks like being the shortest priced favourite of the week as he defends his title on Thursday.

Bookmakers have him as low as 4/6 two days before the big 2 ½-mile contest. If you are planning to back him, wait until nearer race time, as his price is most likely to be bigger then. So many will be wanting to back so many of the longshots against him, and we could even be lucky enough to snap up even money. That would be a good bet.

His chief rival is probably going to be Sergeant Cecil, who appears to be improving still, but one should also give Godolphin’s runner Cherry Mix a second look. After all, this is a multiple Group One winner over 1 ½ miles, he was good enough to finish just 4 ¾ lengths behind Hurricane Run in the ‘King George’ at this venue last summer.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
ASCOT GOLD CUP (G1)

Royal Ascot 21 June 2007 – 2 ½ miles turf

Horses presented with best Globeform, sire, rider

A ‘+’ after horse indicates improvement expected

122 – YEATS (Sadler’s Wells) M Kinane
120 – CHERRY MIX (Linamix) L Dettori
118 – SERGEANT CECIL (King’s Signet) J Fortune
115 – MONTARE (Montjeu) O Peslier
116 – LORD DU SUD (Linamix) C-P Lemaire
116 – LE MIRACLE (Monsun) D Boeuf
115 – THE LAST DROP (Galileo) K McEvoy
114 – TUNGSTEN STRIKE (Smart Strike) R Moore
113 – ALLEGRETTO (Galileo) + / S Sanders
113 – RISING CROSS (Cape Cross) T Durcan
112 – GEORDIELAND (Johann Quatz) J Spencer
110 – BADDAM (Mujahid) I Mongan
110 – BULWARK (Montjeu) J Crowley
…? – FINALMENTE (Kahyasi) J Murtagh

YEATS made a good comeback in the Saval Beg Stakes (LR) at Leopardstown last month, when beating Mutakarrim by 6 lengths. He was a hot favourite and did no more than he should but he looked as good as ever, and he will be tough to beat again at Ascot. He outclassed a similar quality field to win the Gold Cup 12 months ago, when making his seasonal debut.

Get Yeats’s essay from the Globeform Annual via the pdf-link below.

YEATS (Sadler’s Wells) GF07s


CHERRY MIX tries a staying trip for the first time, and he really is stretching out in distance – so we have no way of knowing how he will cope with it. Godolphin have managed to transform high class middle distance horses to gold cup winners before so, although his pedigree is perhaps not toop encouraging, Cherry Mix has to be considered. He is coming off a below par effort when fourth to Distant Way in the Premio Presidente della Repubblica (G1), but that was over 1 ¼ miles and also his seasonal debut. Currently on offer at around 25-1, Dettori’s mount is well worth an each-way bet.

Get Cherry Mix’s essay from the Globeform Annual via the pdf-link below.


CHERRY MIX (Linamix) GF07s

SERGEANT CECIL is the more likely threat to the favourite though. This remarkable 8-year-old actually produced his career best Globeform ratings when beating Geordieland by ¾ length in the Yorkshire Cup (G2) over 1 ¾ miles at York in May. That was his second run of the year, after a nice comeback run at Newbury, and there can be no doubt; he is set for another fine season. He was beaten 10 lengths when fourth to Yeats last year but Sergeant Cecil improved later in the season and he has a better chance this time. His price is 5-1 and that looks a bit of an each-way steal, as it is hard to imagine him finishing outside the first three.

Get Sergeant Cecil’s essay from the Globeform Annual via the pdf-link below.

SERGEANT CECIL (King’s Signet) GF07s


GLOBEFORM’S SELECTIONS

A: YEATS
B: SERGEANT CECIL
C: CHERRY MIX

RECOMMENDED BETS


2 EXACTAS

A: Yeats to beat Seargeant Cecil
B: Yeats to beate Cherry Mix







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