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King’s Stand: Are these Aussies too fast?
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-06-19 04:32:50 (First published: 2007-06-18 08:38:23 )


Royal Ascot Tue: Traditionally, the 5-furlong King’s Stand Stakes (G2) used to draw quite a relatively small field.

That has all changed, not least thanks to the sprint races at the royal meeting getting such global attention and, of course, tempting Australian sprint aces to England.

Takeover Target won this event twelve months ago, scraping home by just a nose from Benbaun, who had half a length to spare over third placed Pivotal Point. All three line up again on Tuesday, as Takeover Target is heading a strong team from Australia. But he is not the favourite. One of his travel companions, the filly Miss Andretti is shorter in the betting, on the strength of three wins on the bounce at home. Three of the top four on the odds lists are Australians. Are they simply too good?

Will see a historic Aussie exacta?

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
THE KING’S STAND STAKES (G2)

Royal Ascot 19 June 2007 – 5 furlongs turf

Horses presented with best Globeform, sire, rider

A ‘+’ after horse indicates improvement expected

119 – MISS ANDRETTI (Ihtiram) C Newitt
121 – TAKEOVER TARGET (Celtic Swing) J Ford
121 – BENTLEY BISCUIT (Peintre Celebre)
118 – DESERT LORD (Green Desert) N Callan
118 – BENBAUN (Stravinsky) P Smullen
118 – THE TATLING (Perugino) D Holland
117 – TAX FREE (Tagula) + / A Nicholls
117 – DANDY MAN (Mozart) + / P Shanahan
117 – MOSS VALE (Shinko Forest) L Dettori
114 – ENTICING (Pivotal) + / J Spencer
114 – BEAUTY IS TRUTH (Pivotal) + / T Thulliez
116 – MAGNUS (Flying Spur) D Oliver
114 – PIVOTAL POINT (Pivotal) / D Holland
112 – KING ORCHISIOS (Tagula) D O’Donoghue
110 – GREEN MANALISHI (Green Desert) T Durcan
109 – CONQUEST (Invincible Spirit) J Bowman
105 – HAMOODY (Johannesburg) J Fortune
100 – MANZILA (Cadeaux Genereux) O Peslier
101 – DAZED AND AMAZED (Averti) R Hughes
100 – MOORHOUSE LAD (Bertolini) T Eaves
…? – MATSUNOSUKE (Magic Ring) J Murtagh

3lbs sex allowance:

Miss Andretti, Enticing, Beauty Is Truth, Mazila; add three pounds to rating for comparison with males.

Miss Andretti, despite her wide post (19) must have a good chance. She is established among the best sprinters in Australia, she owns good tactical speed and she is coming off three straight wins. The daughter of Ihtiram (a son of Royal Academy) beat Gold Edition by a head in the Newmarket Handicap (G1) over 6 furlongs at Caulfield last time out (when giving the runner-up 8lbs) and she has never been better. Magnus, running below his best, was back in fourth. He had been second when Miss Andretti won the 5-furlong Lightning Stakes (G1) at Moonee Valley back in February. That was a good performance by Magnus, as he gave the mare 5lbs and went down by just 1 ½ lengths. Strictly on ratings, that made them equal but Miss Andretti has that little extra class. In between these wins, she was also successful in the Australia Stakes (G1), also over six at Moonee, when beating Any Suggestions by 1 ¼ lengths at odds-on. Miss Andretti normally races just off the pace and the worry with her is; will she get a decent lead over on the far side? If she does enjoy a lead and gets a perfect race, she is in with an obvious chance.

Takeover Target is as good as ever, having won the Doomben 10,000 (G1) over 7 furlongs on his most recent start. Running up to his best form, he proved half a length too good for Gold Edition that day. He had been second to Bentley Biscuit two weeks earlier. Takeover Target won this event last year but he is actually better over 6 furlongs, and – with more speed horses in opposition this time – he may be in with a better chance in the Golden Jubilee Stakes (G1) on Saturday.

Get Takeover Target’s essay from the Globeform Annual via the pdf-link below.

TAKEOVER TARGET (Celtic Swing) GF07s

Bentley Biscuit is every bit as good as Takeover Target, and a shade better than the mare Miss Andretti, and he is our idea of the winner of the 2007 King’s Stand Stakes. This son of Peintre Celebre is, like Miss Andretti, seeking his fourth straight win. He beat Takeover Target by a short neck in the BTC Cup (G1) over 6 furlongs at Doomben in May, when the latter was favourite. Bentley Biscuit lost ground at the start (he is normally a decent starter) but found enough to get up for a determined win. It was a visually impressive performance, it was also a run that produced his career best Globeform rating, and Bentley Biscuit may prove tough to beat at Ascot. He had beaten Black Ink twice in Group One events over 6 and 7 furlongs at Randwick within a week in April (Takeover Target well behind in one). He drops to 5 furlongs here but Ascot’s five is a stiff sprint, and there will be plenty on pace on early, so Bentley Biscuit should get a race run to suit his pouncing style. He is well drawn in gate three.

Enticing is improving, and this Newmarket trained 3-year-old filly must be considered. In fact, if she improves again off her fine 5-length win in a Listed event at Bath last time out, she becomes the best hope of the home team. She was making her seasonal debut, and broke little sweat in the process, beating Folga by 5 lengths. Now, Folga is no star, but Enticing simply hammered her (and the rest) that day, and this daughter of Pivotal should not be underestimated. Pivotal won the King’s Stand in 1996, taking the sprint first time up, and Enticing could well prove to be a new sprinting star. She is one of the few runners in this field who can be expected to make significant improvement, and she is bred to be a G1 sprinter. Her dam, Superstar Leo was placed in the Prix de l’Abbaye (G1) as a juvenile. Enticing also tried her luck at the highest level at two, but failed to make an impact in the Nunthorpe Stakes (G1), after having won the 5-furlong Molecomb Stakes (G3) at Goodwood. She beat Wi Dud by a nose there, and that colt went on to run second behind Dutch Art in the Middle Park Stakes (G1). Enticing ran in the Cornwallis Stakes (G3) over 5 furlongs here at ascot, and was third behind Alzerra and Hoh Mike (under a 3lb penalty).

She breaks from stall 12, right in the middle so can be edged to either side by rider Jamie Spencer, who rides this course particularly well. Enticing makes a lot of appeal, even against a bunch of proven G1 sprinters. She is a best priced 10-1 (Coral) on Monday but may go off at a bigger price. Also, if you agree that she is worth a bet, check out her tote odds. That may be where you find the real value.

Taking two against the field, our selections are Bentley Biscuit and Enticing.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 2 BENTLEY BISCUIT, 21 ENTICING
B: 12 TAKEOVER TARGET, 16 MISS ANDRETTI
C: 7 MAGNUS

RECOMMENDED BETS


2 WIN BETS: 2 Bentley Biscuit & 21 Enticing

16 EXACTAS

A: 2 and 21 reversed
B: 2, 21 with 7, 12, 16
C: 7, 12, 16 with 2, 21
C: 12 and 16 reversed







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