Prince Of Wales’s: Global formlines meet up
by Handicappers (firstname.lastname@example.org) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-06-21 10:58:52 (First published: 2007-06-16 05:10:31 )
Royal Ascot Wed: Formlines representing racing at the top level in England, Ireland, France and North America will come together in a high quality edition of the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (G1) on day two of the royal meeting.
Dylan Thomas is favourite in the early betting but he was beaten last time out, by Notnowcato, who takes him on again. The French raider Manduro is very interesting. Last year he was a horse who constantly found one or two too good in Group One company. That has all changed now. He has won both his races this term, and is coming off a smooth win in the Prix d’Ispahan (G1) at Longchamp.
Red Rocks, last year’s Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1) winner, is also one to consider, after his impressive seasonal debut in the Gordon Richards Stakes (G3).
PRINCE OF WALES’S STAKES (G1)
Royal Ascot 20 June 2007 – 1 ¼ miles turf
Horses presented with best Globeform, sire, rider
A ‘+’ after horse indicates improvement expected
125 – MANDURO (Monsun) + / S Pasquier
124 – DYLAN THOMAS (Danehill) + / C Soumillon
122 – NOTNOWCATO (Inchinor) / J Murtagh
120 – RED ROCKS (Galileo) + / L Dettori
118 – SIR PERCY (Mark Of Esteem) / M Dwyer
118 – KANDIDATE (Kabool) / R Moore
115 – PRESSING (Soviet Star) / O Peslier
MANDURO has an excellent chance here and he is the best bet of the day. If this horse was English trained, he would probably be favourite. English backers let him go off at a tremendous even money in a relatively soft field at Newmarket in the spring, where he simply hacked up for a deeply impressive wide margin win over Speciosa. After that, he landed the Prix d’Ispahan (G1) at Longchamp, in similar style, and he is a much improved horse this year. He comes here right at the top of his game, he ran a respectable race in this event last year (good third to Ouija Board), and he is the one to beat. At Longchamp last time, Manduro dominated his rivals and ran out an easy 5-length winner over Turtle Bowl (runs in Queen Anne on Tuesday), with the G1 winner Stormy River a well beaten third. It was his career best effort, and he may be improving still. A small field makes the risk of a slow early pace, something that will not be to his disadvantage, as he was consistently among the best milers in France last year.
DYLAN THOMAS was beaten in a photo finish last time he ran, as NOTNOWCATO just got the nod in the Tattersalls Gold Cup (G1) over this distance at the Curragh. Notnowcato, winner of a sub-standard International Stakes (G1) at York last year, improved with this win and it will be interesting to see if he can stay at this level. Knowing how good his trainer is with older horses, one has to assume he can.
RED ROCKS dropped successfully down to 10 furlongs to gain quite a smooth win in the Gordon Richards Stakes (G3) at Sandown in April, and he is just the type to step up again as a 4-year-old, so must be respected. That was in lesser company though, and over a stiff track, and he is more likely to win another G1 over 12 furlongs. A steady pace would not suit him.
SIR PERCY is struggling to regain his high-class 3yo form, and hard to fancy now. He was well below his true form at Epsom last time out.
Get Globeform Essays on these four horses, all G1 winner in 2006, via pdf-links below.
DYLAN THOMAS (Danehill) GF07s
NOTNOWCATO (Inchinor) GF07s
RED ROCKS (Galileo) GF07s
SIR PERCY (Mark Of Esteem) GF07s
A: 3 MANDURO
B: 1 DYLAN THOMAS
C: 4 NOTNOWCATO
WIN: 3 Manduro (3-1 available)
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