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Newmarket: Supporting stakes previews
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2007-05-04 07:50:23


Saturday: Potential Derby contenders line up in the Newmarket Stakes (LR), a highly interesting 10-furlong event with six runners, including Godolphin’s Eastern Anthem.

Leave or switch off after the Guineas, and you may miss seeing a future star.

More established formlines will be on show in the Dahlia Stakes (G3), a fillies’ and mares’ event over 9 furlongs, where the Sir Michael Stoute trained Echelon is sure to be a short priced favourite.


Sat. 2.45 – DAHLIA STAKES (G3) – 9 furlongs turf (straight)

1 – ECHELON / K McEvoy
2 – ABHISHEKA / L Dettori
3 – ARRIVEE / M Fenton
4 – DONT DILI DALI /J Quinn
5 – ENFORCE / J Spencer
6 – MRS SNOW / M Kinane
7 – RAKATA / Jimmy Fortune
8 – TOPATOO / M Hills

Echelon has to concede weight all round on her seasonal debut but she is difficult to oppose here – on what will be her first run of the year. Stoute’s horses have been in flying form this spring – just like last year – and there is no reason to doubt that Ecehelon can run a big race first time up. True, the daughter of Danehill was beaten first time up last year – when third to Penkenna Princess at Newbury – but she improved after that and reached a totally new level. She notched up three wins on the bounce, beginning win a 7-furlong Listed win at Newmarket and ending with G3 over a mile at Epsom – before running such a game second behind the top class Soviet Song in the Windsor Forest Stakes (G2) at the Royal Ascot meeting. She can win the Dahlia without running up to her best.

Abhisheka, running for Godolphin, looks the best bet for the exacta. This daughter of Sadler’s Wells will be worth her weight in gold if she manages to win a black type race, as she is a half-sister to the fantastic Lammtarra, who won the Derby, ’King Georg’ and Prix de l’Arc in his 3yo season. Abhisheka is way below such class but she shaped quite well when second to Royal Alchemist at Nad Al Sheba in February – when trying a Listed race over today’s distance (but on a turning track). Both her wins came on soft ground last year, and that is a bit of a concern, as the ground is likely to be on the firm side at Newmarket this weekend.

Dont Dili Dali is a game and genuine performer, and she must also have a chance of picking up some prizemoney. She has had six runs already this season though, and sooner or later she will be in need of a break.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 1 ECHELON
B: 2 ABHISHEKA
C: 4 DONT DILI DALI

RECOMMENDED BET

1 EXACTA
1 to beat 2

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Sat. 4.35 – NEWMARKET STAKES (LR) – 10 furlong turf (straight)

1 – ACAPULCO / C Soumillon
2 – BROGHILL / Jimmy Fortune
3 – EATERN ANTHEM / L Dettori
4 – LEPIDO / J Spencer
5 – SALFORD MILL / K McEvoy
6 – TESLIN / K Darley

Eastern Anthem, talked about as a possible Derby horse for Godolphin, is interesting, but the ’boys in blue’ have had a terrible start to 2007 and he will probably not be heavily backed here. Take a look at him in the paddock. If this colt appears to be fit and well, he must be considered. He won his only race last year, a soft-ground maiden over an extended mile at Nottingham, when crusing home by 5 lengths from Sagredo (who won a similar race by 4 lengths next time out) and Eastern Anthem falls into the ’could be anything’ basket. He is a son of Singspiel and his dam Kazzia won the 1000 Guineas (G1) here before following up in the Oaks (G1) at Epsom. She was at her best on soft ground.

Acapulco represents the Aiden O’Brien team, and he has already had a run at three – and won impressively. The Galileo colt did not run at two, making his 9-length win on a maiden at Navan last month all the more noteworthy. Racing on testing ground, he drew right off for a very easy win over Harper Valley, with Copper Bell third. These are no stars, but the latter was being well backed. He had run second to Macarthur (another o’Brien colt) on his debut. The form is hard to assess, and it is impossible for us to say how Acapulco will act on good to firm ground. Knowing his trainer, one would assume he takes him out of the race if he feels the conditions are against him. So, if he runs, Acapulco will probably be hard to beat.

Salford Mill, a strong looking son of Peintre Celebre, ran a good race here two weeks ago, when going down by just a head to Petara Bay in the Feilden Stakes (LR) over 9 furlongs. Running on up the hill, Salford Mill shaped like a horse that will appreciate this step up in distance. Petara Bay let the form down when he could beat only one home in the Classic Trial (G3) at Sandown Park last weekend, but read little into that. The race may have come too quick and / or the course may not have suited him there. Salford Mill is a thoroughly likeable type in his own right, and he is just the sort to progress as the season unfolds.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 3 EASTERN ANTHEM
B: 1 ACAPULCO, 5 SALFORD MILL

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN: 3 Eastern Anthem

2 EXACTAS: 3 with 1, 5

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