Globeform
    Printed from http://www.globeform.com Visit the website for more    

UAE Derby: Asiatic Boy vs. Eu Tambem, Folk...
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-04-10 07:11:08 (First published: 2007-03-21 08:53:49 )


Nad Al Sheba 31 Mar: The big 3-year-old race of the day, indeed of the whole year in Dubai, is the 9-furlong UAE Derby (G2).

The race was won by Discreet Cat last year, and a running of this classic without a Godolphin runner is an ’impossible scenario’. Well, for a while they looked like not fielding one this year, but they will.

Eu Tambem, who impressed in his only start for Ismail Mohammed, has joined Saeed bin Suroor’s team – and been switched from the World Cup to the Derby, where he is set for a mouthwatering clash with 2000 Guineas winner Asiatic Boy. The 1000 Guineas and Oaks heroine Folk, who has now also joined Godolphin, adds further spice to the contest – along with the recent Argentinean G1 winner Bartola.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
THE UAE DERBY (G2)

Nad Al Sheba 31 March 2007 – 1800 metres / 9 furlongs dirt

Confirmed runners presented with sires,
best Globeform, and probable rider
A ”+” after horse indicates improvement expected.

121 – ASIATIC BOY (Not For Sale) + / W C Marwing
114 – FOLK (Quiet American) + f/ K McEvoy (4.4lbs sex all.)
115 – EU TAMBEM (Wild Event) + / L Dettori
111 – BARTOLA (Roy) / P Falero
..?+ - VICTORY TETSUNI (Gone West) / Y Take
110 – RALLYING CRY (War Chant) / T Durcan (GF 110 in 2006 / 2007: GF 103)
109 – JOE LOUIS (Lode) / M Kinane
105 – DAY PASS (Five Star Day) + / G Gomez
104 – TRAFFIC GUARD (More Than Ready) J Egan
100 – JACK JUNIOR (Songandaprayer) / R Hills
108 – GREETINGS (Choctaw Ridge) + /
..97 – ADIL (Torrey Canyon) + / K Desormeaux
..90 – SEAL POINT (Point Given) + / P Eddery


ASIATIC BOY is undoubtedly the international flag-bearer of the show when he goes to post as favourite for the UAE Derby (G2) at Nad Al Sheba on World Cup night – and he will be very, very difficult to beat. This colt was bred in Argentina, where he also began his career in good style, he was then bought by Mike de Kock – the South African trainer who has made such an impact in Dubai over the past few years. Asiatic Boy will make sure fans are tuning in from three different corners of the world on the big day. And the rest of the planet, of course. This is a colt we all want to see when he runs. And back. He ran to GF 121+ last time out.

He has been so, so impressive with three wins already at the Carnival, landing the Guineas before stepping successfully up in distance in the Al Bastakiya. He took the 2000 Guineas (G3) over 1600 metres, when beating the English colt Traffic Guard by 4 ½ lengths, with Rallying Cry back in third. Asiatic Boy was by far the best as he took the lead 500 metres from the winning post. He was clearly ridden for stamina and, if staying is his game, he will not be easy to beat in the Derby.

Asiatic Boy had Traffic Guard in second also when he was an impressive 4 ¾-length winner in a 7-furlong event in January, and his form has been improving with every run. On March 1, he turned the 1800-metre Al Bastikyia into yet another procession. As always ridden by Weichong Marwing, Asiatic Boy outclassed six rivals to win by 7 lengths. His runner-up, the Japanese colt Victory Testuni, was beaten 7 lengths, while Rallying Cry finished third. The latter, racing for Princess Haya and the powerful Ismail Mohammed team, is an interesting piece in this puzzle, as he met some of the best juveniles in Europe last year. A son of Breeders’ Cup Mile (Gr 1) winner War Chant, Rallying Cry ran his best race to date when sixth behind top juvenile Teofilo in the Dewhurst Stakes (Gr 1) at Newmarket. He did not quite run up to that level of form in the not so competitive Criterium International (G1) in France, but managed fifth behind Mount Nelson - one of the favourites for this year’s Epsom Derby. These formlines tell us that Asiatic Boy is a top class performer.

His form in Argentina last year was also quite strong. The son of Not For Sale was second, beaten ¾ length by Husson, in the Gran Criterium (Gr 1) over 1600 metres at San Isidro last May, when the subsequent 2000 Guineas (Gr 1) winner Joe Louis was 5 lengths behind him in third place. Losing to Husson was no shame – as that colt had previously also won the Raul Y. Raul E. Chevalier Stakes (Gr 1) - beating a subsequent Group 3 winner, and was in unstoppable form at the time.

As is Asiatic Boy these days.


EU TAMBEM has been transferred to Godolphin and will run here instead of the World Cup, and he is without doubt the biggest threat to Asiatic Boy.

Having put up a smashing performance over the Nad Al Sheba track in the Maktoum Challenge III (G2), the Brazilian champion has every right to improve again. In fact, this could be the new Invasor – and a name for the future. He was in a class of his own when slamming Singing Poet by 5 lengths over the DWC distance on Super Thursday. His Brazilian form was even better. Take a look at his CV, and maybe you will realise why he was the 2-1 shot of the year last time out.

This young colt is a very exciting prospect. He beat a high-class field of horses taking solid formlines into the contest as he performed to Globeform 115+ in the Premio Nacional Argentine Derby (G1) over 12.5 furlongs at Palermo last November. Eu Tambem outpointed Boca Tamposo by 1 ½ lengths, with Barbie Parade third, Body Gold fourth and Capo Pete fifth. These are not exactly bread and butter horses.

His runner-up, Boca Tamposo, was coming off a win in a minor event, and had earlier been second to Body Gold. Third placed Barbie Parade – the only filly in the race - had been second, beaten 2 ½ lengths, behind Emotion Parade in the GP Polla de Potrancas (G1) in September. She was then second again, once more beaten 2 ½ lengths by Emotion Parade, in the GP de Seleccion (G1) in October. Emotion Parade is a high class filly, who went on to win her third G1 in the GP Enrique Azebal (G1) at San Isidro on November 4. She was also second in the 1000 Guineas (G1) in July.

Body Gold, beaten 5 ½ length into fourth behind Eu Tambem, had won the Clasico Eduardo Casey (G2), a prep race for the G Premio Nacional, by no less than 8 lengths, beating the favourite Dancing For Me (winner of Argetine 2000 Guineas, G1) very easily.

Capo Pete was coming off a fourth place finish in the Gran Premio Jockey Club (G1) at San Isidro, and had previously won a minor event over 10 furlongs at San Isidro.

Clearly a high class runner in the making, the 4-year-old Eu Tambem put up a very good performance in the Gran Premio Nacional (G1). The race was worth around $170,000, and he landed it in good style. He got the measure of the arly leader Boca Tamposo in mid-stretch, and ran on for a 1 ½-length win. There may be more to come from this son of Wild Event. That was his sixth win in seven starts, and he became the first foreign-bred contender to win this race. He is a bit special on the track and he is well bred too. Let’s take a look at his pedigree.


His sire Wild Event has not been noted as a particular influence for stamina, but his dam comes from the same family as Theatrical (won Breeders’ Cup Turf, G1, etc) and Eu Tambem does have stamina in his pedigree – we also know he stays well. Wild Event is by the top class dirt runner Wild Again (Icecapade), who won the first edition of the Breeders’ Cup Classic (G1) as 4-year-old, defeating Preakness winner Gate Dancer and Slew O’Gold. Wild Again had previously won the Meadowlands Cup (G1) – now a G2 event – and two Grade 2 events; the Oaklawn H, and New Orleans H. Wild Again won 6 of 16 races that year, but raced just four times as a 5-year-old, with a repeat win in the Meadowlands Cup (G1) as his best result.

Eu Tambem’s dam Charmosa is a daughter of the Argentinean stallion Fain, who comes from the solid Ballymoss line, while his second dam, Charming Cindy, was a daughter of Gallant Man – who was runner-up in the Kentucky Derby (G1).

This colt probably gets most of his stamina from the bottom half of his pedigree. Based on breeding, he should act on turf, and his ability to handle a sloppy dirt track also augurs well in that respect.

What's more, Eu Tambem is used to winning most of his races. Sometimes, that counts for a lot.


FOLK, the visually so impressive winner of the UAE 1000 Guineas (LR) and UAE Oaks (G2), two classics she won by daylight, will be taking on the boys for the first time. Having won a maiden at Aqueduct by ’half the stretch’ last year, she had been improving rapidly in Dubai this winter. She hammered Greetings (coming off a soloid win) by 4 ¾ lengths after making all in the one-mile Guineas, and followed up by beating Samba Raggea easily by 5 leanths in the Oaks, run over 9 furlongs. Greetings was third that day, beaten another 5 ¼ lengths. She had won in an exceptional time in South America last year – and probably bounced after her big run here fisrt time out. Samba Reggae may not be quite as brilliant as Greetings, but she is more consistent and quite a good yardstick. Interestingly, she ran a good fourth 6 lengths behind Emotion Parade in the Gran Premio Seleccion (G1) at Palermo last October. Emotion Parade is a top class filly.

These formlines tell us that Folk, who is by far the finished article, has outclassed fillies of high quality, and she will win a Grade One this year. This time, she is in a tough G2 though, with two million dollars in the pot. Can she give the top colts a fight? Yes, she might, but probably only if the race is run at a moderate pace. Her front-running style can so easily compromise her chances, if she finds herself hooked up in a speed duel. Not just will that be physically taxing, it will also give her a new type of a mental test.

Her sire Quiet American won the NYRA Mile (G1) – now the Cugar Mile – at Aqueduct, after not being found good enough by the handicappers to get a run in the Breeders’ Cup Mile (G1) that same year. He was also second in the Strub Stakes (G1) and Woodward Handicap (G1) and stayed 1 ¼ miles. His biggest succes as a stallion came with Real Quiet, who won the Kentucky Derby (G1) and Preakness Stakes (G1) and went so close to landing the US Triple Crown.

We would give Folk a serious chance in the Kentucky Oaks (G1) this year – but a run in the UAE Derby leading up to Churchill Downs puts a lot of pressure on this young filly at a crucial stage of her 3yo career.


Finally, for students of times these clockings may be of interest:

Asiatic Boy – 9 furlongs – 1:48.27 (Best Derby time 1:47.0, Express Tour)

Folk – 9 furlongs – 1:48.59

Eu Tambem – 10 furlongs – 2:01.53 (Track record 1:59.5, Dubai Millennium)


BARTOLA has won twice by daylight at Palermo in Argentina this winter, most recently by 8 lengths in a Grade One. He is clearly improved but it is also worth noting that he was beaten by the filly Sambae Reggae at San Isidro in December – and that filly was no match for Folk in the UAE Oaks, when Greetings ran third.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 10 ASIATIC BOY
B: 13 EU TAMBEM
C: 11 FOLK
D: 7 BARTOLA

RECOMMENDED BETS


EXACTAS / STRAIGHT F'CASTS

A: 10 with 13
B: 13 with 10
C: 10 with 7, 11

TRIFECTAS

A: 10 with 13 with 7, 11
B: 10 with 7, 11 with 13
C: 10 with 7, 11 with 7, 11








Copyright (c) Globeform, 2001-2012