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Godolphin Mile: A wide open affair
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-03-30 14:54:27 (First published: 2007-03-16 17:31:25 )


Nad Al Sheba 31 Mar: There will be nearly a full field also in the one-mile Godolphin Mile (G2), where 15 go to post, after Blatant's defection.


The field is looking strong as ever, with Court Masterpiece taking the joint top Globeform rating into the battle. He is set to meet the ex-Irish Mullins Bay, the ex-English Killybegs and the North American shippers Dixie Meister and Spring at Last. Plus several others in with a chance!

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
THE GODOLPHIN MILE (G2)

Nad Al Sheba 31 March 2007 – 1600 metres / 8 furlongs dirt

Confirmed runners presented with sires,
best Globeform, and probable rider
A ”+” after horse indicates improvement expected.

117 – MULLINS BAY (Machiavellian) / W Marwing
117 – COURT MASTERPIECE (Polish Precedent) / K McEvoy
115 – SPRING AT LAST (Silver Deputy) + / tba
115 - KILLYBEGS (Orpen) / L Dettori
114 - VORTEX (Danehill) / J Murtagh
113 – DIXIE MEISTER (Holzmeister) / D Flores
112 – FUSAICHI RICHARD (Kurofune) / C Soumillon
110 – PAROLE BOARD (Dynaformer) / T Durcan
108 – IMPOSSIBLE SKI (Ski Champ) / A Domingos
107 – NELORE PORA (Romarin + / Z Rosa
105 – GOLD FOR SALE (Not For Sale) + / M Kinane
105 – BOSTON LODGE (Grand Lodge) / E Ahern
105 – SINGING POET (Singspiel) / T P O’Shea
105 – MERLERAULT (Royal Academy) / S Pasquier
104 – GHARIR (Machiavellian) / M Dwyer

Court Masterpiece top the ratings, with Mullins Bay. The last named has the best recent form but Court Masterpiece, who was sixth in this event 12 months ago, has a bit more class. He is a dual Group One winner on turf and – though he ran below form first time out and has now been deserted by Dettori – he should be given another chance. He ran a great race when winning the Sussex Stakes (G1) over a mile at Goodwood last summer.

Held up, as usual, for a late run, Court Masterpiece found a gap against the far rail and sprinted clear in the final furlong to beat Soviet Song by 2 lengths. The pace had been fast and the time of the race was good, considering that the runners had to battle against a strong headwind. In his previous race, Royal Ascot’s Queen Anne Stakes (G1), Court Masterpiece had suffered serious interference before getting up for second, and the winner Ad Valorem, the perpetrator of the trouble, was considered fortunate not to have been disqualified. That had been the Gainsborough horse’s best previous effort over a mile, again helped by the good to firm conditions, but he ran a solid race when third to George Washington in the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot in September. At the end of the season, he ran twice below form when shipped to Japan, in the Mile Championship (G1) at Kyoto and the Hanshin Cup (G2) over 7 furlongs.

Mullins Bay has had one run at the Carnival, finishing second to Kandidate in the Maktoum Challenge II (G3) over 9 furlongs. Kandidate, who slipped away and ’stole’ the race, beatn him easily by nearly six lengths but Mullins Bay kept on well for second, beating Singing Poet for the place. That horse came back to run a good second to UAE Derby runner Eu Tambem in the next round, and Mulllins Bay’s form looks interesting. He was a high class 8 to 10 furlong runner when trained by Aidan O’Brien in Ireland. He won a big handicap and a G3 in England in 2005 and was second to the top Italian miler Ramonti in a G2 on his only start in 2006.

Having run with such promise on his dirt debut, Mullins Bay gets the nod here. He is a miler with stamina, and that is just what you need in a full field like this.

Gold for Sale was an impressive winner of the Argentine 2000 Guineas (G1) – the Gran Premio Polla de Potrillos – in September 2005. Racing over a fast track at Palermo, he quickened well to gain a 4-length win over Mr. Rod, with Scooby third, running the 1600 metres in 1:35.08. It was his fifth win from as many starts and he added a sixth in the UAE 2000 Guineas (G2) last year, where he came from way off the pace to beat Where’s That Tiger by ¾ length. That is not top class form, far from it, but Gold for Sale is an interesting horse. He disappointed in the UAE Derby (G2) but has come back with a win and a second this winter, and he is a possible improver. 33-1 makes him an interesting each-way bet.

Spring at Last was fifth to Lava Man in the Santa Anita Handocap (G1), running well without getting up to his absolute best. Perhaps the 10 furlongs was a bit too far for him. He had previously run a fine race (when blinkered for the first time) in second, 1 ¼ lengths behind Arson Squad in the 9-furlong Strub Stakes (G2). His very best was still when he improved considerably to take second to Latent Heat (impressive winner since) in the 7-furlong Malibu (G1) in December. Spring at Last was stepping up to stakes company for the first time – and racing for only the sixth time of his career and Latent Heat beat him by only 2 lengths (when in receipt of 4lbs).

The Silver Deputy colt had changed barns from Todd Pletcher to Doug O’Neill prior to that event. Pletcher trained him to win twice from five runs, and he was an impressive 7 ½-length winner of a mile allowance race at Aqueduct in November. Always close to the pace, he outclassed the subsequent winner Barcola in a good time that day. He was a bit further back in the early part of the Malibu, which was natural as he was cutting back in distance, but ran a really solid race throughout. Already a good winner over a this distance, Spring at Last is interesting contender in the Godolphin Mile.

Killybegs is a new horse with Godolphin, after achiveing solid results for trainer Barry Hills in England at two and three.
Last year, he was game fourth to our top rated miler George Washington in the one-mile Queen Elizabeth II Stakes (G1) at Ascot. He had actually beaten “George” on their previous start, when runner-up to Caradak in the Sussex Mile (G2) – where George Washington was unlucky, and Killybegs was a respectable fouth to Linngari in a G2 over a mile on turf here in February. He is a tough runner, just the type to do well on dirt, and he gets Dettori on board.

Dixie Meister had his 2006 campaign interrupted by breaks but when he did get to the gate, he often ran solid races. Twice producing his best, when second to Yes He’s a Pistol in the Santanta Mile here at Santa Anita last March (conceding weight) and when beating Super Frolic in the Californian (G2) at Hollywood Park in June, he is effective from 8 to 9 furlongs. Meeting Discreet Cat in the Cigar Mile (G1) proved too tough, and he ran well below his true form at Aqueduct. He won on his comeback in January.

The pace made the race in the seven-runner San Pasqual Handicap (G2) at Santa Anita this winter, when the two early trailers Dixie Meister and Armenian Summer fought out some finish – with Dixie Meister getting his nose in front. The pair drew 2 ¾ lengths clear of Preachinatthebar, who had raced closer to a very strong pace.

Discreet Cat’s excellent win in the Cigar Mile (G1) was advertised with this result, as Dixie Meister was making his first appearance since finishing a distant fourth to the Globeform Champion at Aqueduct in December. Dixie Meister is trained by Julio Canani and was given a superb ride by David Flores. Runner-up Armenian Summer, stepping up from allowance company, carried 6 pounds overweight.


GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 12 SPRING AT LAST, 14 MULLINS BAY
B: 2 GOLD FOR SALE, 6 KILLYBEGS

RECOMMENDED BETS


WIN BETS: 12 & 14

EXACTA BOX / REV: 12 & 14

TRIFECTAS:

A: 6, 12, 14 boxed / combined
B: 2, 12, 14 boxed / combined

C: 12, 14 with 12, 14 with All
D: 12, 14 with All with 12, 14
E: 6 with 12, 14 with All
F: 2 with 12, 14 with All







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