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Suwanee River: Let’s go against the favorites
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Published: 2007-02-02 19:19:34


Gulfstream Park 3 Feb: J’ray is coming off an ulucky second to Bayous’s Lassie in the Genter Handicap (G3) at Calder, where the distance was much too short for her.

Naissance Royale is coming off a slightly below par effort when second to Bright Abundance in the Marshua’s River Stakes here at Gulfstream. She will also appreciate taking a step up in distance. These two names will take a lot of action at the windows, when we get to the 9-furlong Suwanee River Handicap (G3). And they both have a big chance. We are taking a shot against them both, however, and looking at an interesting 6-1 shot in this turf contest.

GLOBEFORM RANKING
THE SUWANEE RIVER HCAP (G3)

Gulfstream Park 3 February 2007 – 9 furlongs turf

Runners ranked based on best Globeform ratings,
Top ranked horse on 100, with others ranked down in
Pounds (1 length = 2lbs). Horses listed with sire / rider

100 – POTRA CLASICA (Potrillo) R Bejarano
..97 – NAISSANCE ROYALE (Giant’s Causeway) E Prado
..96 – JACARANDA JANE (Joshua Dancer) C Velasquez
..95 – CURSORA (Candy Stripes) K Desormeaux
..91 – NOTTAWASAGA (Deputy Minister) J Castellano
..90 – J’RAY (Distant View) J Velazquez
..90 – BRAZILIAN (Stravisnky) E Castro
..90 – LA DOLCE VITA (Quiet American) M Guidry
..89 – SILVERSIDER (Wekiva Springs) M Cruz
...? – BALERIANA (Keseff) E Nunez

Potra Clasica ran as if something was amiss when last seen in action, in the Stage Door Betty Handicap (G3) over 8.5 furlongs on dirt at Calder in December. Coming off off a big run over the same course and distance, she was soon a beaten horse in the Stage Door Betty, where she trailed home fifth of seven, a long way behind Take d’Tour (who was a beaten favorite at the Sunshine Millions next out). That run was too bad to be true. Potra Clasica is much, much better, and let’s give her another chance – as she switches to turf. She was visually impressive when hammering Miss Reflection two win a minor stakes on dirt by 7 ½ lengths two starts back, and she also produced smart form when beating Formal Miss in the Hollywood Wildcat Breeders’ Cup Handicap (G3) over 8.5 furlongs on turf at Calder last summer, and she has a nice weight in this edition of the Suwanee River.

Naissance Royale was a bit below her best when beaten by stable companion Bright Abundance in the Marshua’s River over 8.5 furlongs here at Gulfstream in January. She was a heavy favorite that day, based som solid and most consistent performances through the 2006 season. The daughter of Giant’s Causeway will appreciate this slight step up in distance – and has a winning chance again. She was particularly good when staying on to be a nose behind Grande Melody in the Dahlia Handicap (G2) over 8.5 furlongs at Hollywood Park, and ahs also produced string form over 10 furlongs.

Jacaranda Jane is a bit dubious, though highly rated for her fine effort when second to Barancella at Belmont Park in September. She is back after a break now, since her dismal performance in the My Charmer Handicap (G3) at Calder two months ago. Course and distance suits and she can’t be written off.

J’ray is more interesting this time. She has to improve again to win but that could easily happen –a s she was fast closing, and unlucky, second to Bayou’s Lassie in the n7.5-furlong Genter Handicap (G3) at Calder on December 30. J’ray was up against it that day but lost by just a head and she is much better suited by this distance.

Brazilian holds a similar chance, having won nicely on her comeback at Calder on New Year’s even. She ran some excellent races in the spring of last year and could well be a graded stakes winner in the making.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 5 POTRA CLASICA
B: 1 NAISSANCE ROYALE
C: 4 JACARANDA JANE, 6 BRAZILIAN, 9 J’RAY









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