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Holy Bull: Where the serious biz begins
by Geir Stabell (geir.stabell@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-04-20 03:44:59 (First published: 2007-02-02 19:17:23 )


Gulfstream Park 3 Feb: Nobiz Like Shobiz, in many an expert’s view a serious, serious Kentucky Derby contender, will be the betting choice as he makes his seasonal debut in the Holy Bull Stakes (G3).

Despite the fact that he has lost to one of these rivals. Scat Daddy got the better of him in the Champagne Stakes (G1) at Belmont last year.

Why then, is ’Nobiz’ preferred to the ’Daddy’? Because he came back to win the Remsen Stakes (G2), and win it some style. Now that may or may not have been better winning form than the Champagne, and it certainly was not comparable to Street Sense’s win in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1) – where Scat Daddy finished fourth. Then again, Scat Daddy was beaten 15 lengths there. Normally, that does not get you into the superfecta in a Grade One.

Exactly how good is this guy Street Sense? And how good is the Remsen winner Nobiz Like Shobiz, or Scat Daddy? Well, this is the beginning, this is where the highway of questions begins, it leads all the way to Churchill Downs on the first Saturday in May. This is where the serious biz begins. Many will want to participate, only a few will have the energy, and the luck, to go all the way.

GLOBEFORM RANKING
THE HOLY BULL (G3)

Gulfstream Park 3 February 2007 – 8 furlongs dirt

Runners ranked based on best Globeform ratings,
Top ranked horse on 100, with others ranked down in
Pounds (1 length = 2lbs). Horses listed with sire / rider

100 – NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ (Albert the Great) C Velasquez
..97 – SCAT DADDY (Johannesburg) J Velazquez
..87 – SAM P. (Cat Thief) R Bejarano
..87 – BOLD START (Jump Start) K Desormeaux
..84 – DRUMS OF THUNDER (Concerto) M Cruz
..81 – ONE OF THE BEST (West Acre) E Coa
..79 – POP GOES THE TIGER (Tiger Ridge) E Trujillo
...? – DUKES FLYING TIGER (Tiger Ridge) C Velazquez

Scat Daddy beat Nobiz Like Shobiz by ¾ length when they met in the Champagne Stakes (G1) over a mile at Belmont Park in October, but the roles may be reversed this time. Nobiz Like Shobiz, lacking experience that day, was a bit unlucky in running and went down as a future star in many notebooks. While Scat Daddy rolled on to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile (G1), and was a respectable fourth, Nobiz Like Shobiz bypassed the big race and to aim at the 9-furlong Remsen Stakes (G2) at Aqueduct instead. Facing a decent, if not top class, field, he simply smashed them. Nobiz Like Shobiz showed a superb turn of foot early in the straight, and shot clear for a 6 ½-length win over Zanjero, who was running on well from the back. Zanjero had previously been a game winner over First Defence (who was coming off an impressive maiden win), with Wham 3 lengths beaten in third. On the same day as the Remsen, Wham met Sam P. over at Churchill Downs – and was also beaten 3 lengths. Wham was beginning to look exposed, but also game and consistent, telling us there is little to chose between Zanjero and Sam P. And Nobiz Like Shobiz is way clear of both.

Sam P took a while to get going at Churchill Downs, where he beat Chelokee and Wham over a mile. He tries a mile again here but 9 furlongs, perhaps even ten, will be better for this son of Cat Thief. Prior to his Churchill win, he had been a staying-on second over 8.5 furlongs at Keeneland, behind Any Given Saturday – who was such a good runner-up to Tiz Wonderful in the Jockey Club Stakes (G2) on his next start. Sam P. Is an improving sort, who will most likely leave his juvenile form lengths behind him this seasson. He has a shot at hitting the board – though would have had a better chance if the field had a bit more speed.

Bold Start was sixth, beaten nearly ten lengths on his final start as a juvenile. Now, that was not such a bad effort, as it came behind Great Hunter, Circular Quay, Street Sense, Birdbirdstheword and Passport, in the Breeders’ Futurity (G1) at Keeneland. Five horses have come out of that race and won next time. Bold Start had previously been third to Passport and Izzie’s Halo (2nd in LeComte, G3) in the Cradle Stakes at River Downs. Coming back after a near three-month break, he ran out a game one-length winner over Meritocracy
in a very nice mile allowance race over a mile here at Gulfstream Park in January. The runner-up was coming off a maiden win, while the well bred pair Silver Express (Unbridled’s Song) and Port Clyde (Gone West) filled third and fourth. Bold Star steps up in class in the Holy Bull, but do include him in the tri plans.

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 8 NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ
B: 2 SCAT DADDY
C: 3 SAM P., 6 BOLD START








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