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Maktoum Challenge III: Electrocutionist in soft spot
by Handicappers (handicappers@globeform.com) / Globeform (http://www.globeform.com)
Last update: 2007-02-19 09:34:07 (First published: 2006-02-27 11:45:05 )


Nad Al Sheba 2 March: Electrocutionist, a new member of Team Godolphin, looks to be in a soft spot for his dirt track debut.

An impressive winner of the Juddmonte International (G1) in England last summer, the 5-year-old son of Red Ransom begins the new season in the Sheikh Maktoum bin Rashid Al Maktoum Challenge III (G2) on Super Thursday. This is a race he simply must win, and preferably win with ease, if he is to go on to the Dubai World Cup (G1) in three weeks’ time.

Eccentric and Chiquitin, third and fourth placed finishers behind Jack Sullivan in the Maktoum Challenge II (G3) last month, are the two most likely to give the favourite a run for his money.

GLOBEFORM RATINGS
SHEIKH MAKTOUM BIN RASHID
AL MAKTOUM CHALLENGE III (G2)


Nad Al Sheba 2 March 2006 – 2000 metres / 1 1/4 miles dirt

Horses presented with best Globeform, sire and rider.
Globeform ratings are expressed in pounds (1 length = 2lb).

120 – ELECTROCUTIONIST (Red Ransom) + L Dettori
114 – CHIQUITIN (Fitzcarraldo) M Kinane
112 – ECCENTRIC (Most Welcome) J Murtagh
109 – PARASOL (Halling) R Mullen
107 – ELMUSTANSER (Machiavellian) R HIlls
100 – KETTER (Much Better) A Domingos
..99 – CHANGE THE GRANGE (Umatilla) T Durcan
..98 – JADEER (Monashee Mountain) R Moore
..95 – HIPPODROME (Montjeu) J Bekker
..92 – ATTENTIVE (Pennekamp) T Durcan
..92 – MISTONGO (Mantle Rock) K McEvoy
..90 – STATE SHINTO (Pleasant Colony) W Supple
..88 – BOSRA’S VALENTINE (Sadler’s Wells) G Hind
..87 – SURBITON (El Prado) R Ffrench
..85 – TODMAN AVENUE (Lear Fan) W Smith

Electrocutionist made his name known worldwide when winning the Juddmonte International Stakes (G1) at York in England last summer. Ridden by Mick Kinane, he came with a strong run from off the pace to deny the Japanese champion Zenno Rob Roy. He bypassed the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe (G1), he even bypassed the Breeders’ Cup Turf (G1), after this famous win – and shipped to Woodbine, Toronto instead – where he ran well below form to finish third behind Relaxed Gesture in the Canadian International (G1). On that performance, assessed to GF 111, Electrocutionist has no chance in a World Cup, but he is much better when on song. He performed to Globeform 120+ at York.

The most impressive aspect to his big win in England, where he got up to beat the 2004 Japan Cup (G1) winner Zenno Rob Roy in a photo-finish, was that he was able to beat top class opposition over 1 ¼ miles. Electrocutionist is essentially a 1 ½-mile performer and quite possibly capable of better than his current rating.

This dirt track debut comes over 1 ¼ miles – or 2000 metres – but it is a big field and there should be enough pace on to make it a test of stamina. Electrocutionist is clearly the best horse in the race and he should win. The long straight at Nad Al Sheba will suit him well.

Chiquitin caused an upset when landing this event 12 months ago, and he looks set for another good run today. Running on strongly, the son of Fitzcarraldo beat Elmustanser by 3 ¼ lengths last year, with Grand Hombre third ahead of Cherry Mix and Yard-Arm. Chiquitin was coming off a second in the Maktoum Challenge II (G2), beaten 1 ¼ lengths by Jack Sullivan.

This time, Chiquitin is coming off a fourth place finish in Maktoum Challenge Round II, behind Jack Sullivan, Blatant and Eccentric - who was making his UAE debut and stayed on well in the closing stages. Eccentric was a solid GF 110-performer on dirt and turf in England last year, when winning three big good races over 1 ¼ miles; a valuable handicap at Epsom’s Derby meeting, the Winter Derby (LR) at Lingfield and the Winter Hill Stakes (G3) at Windsor.

It may seem almost too simple, but going for Electrocutionist to win, with Eccentric / Chiquitin in second / third really is the only option here. The one to add to the exotics mix is Parasol - an enigmatic runner who can rise to the occasion and finish in the top three. He is in good shape, after winning a handicap here, and – incidentally – he has also won the Winter Derby (LR) in England (in 2003).

GLOBEFORM SELECTIONS

A: 6 ELECTROCUTIONIST
B: 4 CHIQUITIN, 5 ECCENTRIC
C: 12 PARASOL

RECOMMENDED BETS:

WIN:
6 Electrocutionist (at Evens or better)

3 EXACTAS

A: 6 with 4, 5, 12

6 TRIFECTAS:

A: 6 with 4, 5, 12 with 4, 5, 12






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