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Looking for the one horse to lay on the exchanges each day at Royal Ascot?
Looking for the best double options on each of the five top class racedays this week? Look no further. They are posted here by 09.00 every morning.
Part of the Royal Ascot Special - subscribers only
TOGETHER, a weak favourite in the Coronation Stakes (3.45) is the one to lay today. Sure enough, this filly has the best form in the book but she has also had two hard races already this spring, she is up against a bunch of potential improvers (while she is getting rather exposed) and she will be racing on softish ground. Trading at 6.2 at around 08.40 this morning, she is one to take on.
At first glance, it may be tempting to kick off a double with the Irish trained Teolane in the opener but she is no value at 7/4 and these juvenile events can be dangerous - as virtually every runner is open to improvement. So let's just watch this race, and instead go for two other double plans - the first one is a bit daring but let's take a shot.
3.05 Nathaniel 3/1 and Mijhaar 7/1
3.45 Nova Hawk 8/1 and Immortal Verse 10/1
Mijhaar is my selection in the King Edward VII so the plan is not graded. Bet four doubles to the same amounts. Read more about these horses in the race previews.
Green Destiny, who would have been a strong favourite if he had gone for the Royal Hunt Cup on Wednesday (see Globeform's Royal Ascot Magazine / 1, looks a sure bet in the Wolferton Handicap (4.25). He ran to Globeform 107p at Newmarket and the handicapper has - for whatever reason - let him in on 99. He can be backed at 2/1, he is by far the best handicapped horse in the field, he has a good draw and he must be backed.
Await The Dawn has been put up at evens by a few bookmakers for tomorrow's Hardwicke Stakes (G2) and that should also be taken as soon as possible. It will not last. I can see him going off at around 4/6 and evens is a great price. He is the second leg of what looks the best double option of the entire week.
4.25 - Green Destiny 2/1
3.05 Saturday - Await The Dawn Evs
Maximum bet win double recommended.
No horse sticks out as a potential lay on today's card and, after having cashed in by laying Star Wintess and So You Think on the first two days, let's stay disciplined and not lay anything on Gold Cup day. We can't just lay horses for the sake of it - that would be a safe road to the poor house.
Today's double plan looks very solid, on the other hand, as
The Gold Cup favourite sits some eight pounds clear on ratings (equals 8 lengths over this trip) and there is no way he can be opposed. He may not even have to fully stay to win. The second best horse in the field, Duncan, is not at all likely to relish this trip, and where exactly is the danger going to come from? Fame And Glory was put up at 5/2 by William Hill overnight - well, that was gone when I got my paper at 06.30... and for a reason. The firm no go 15/8.
Tazahum is far too big at 9/2 for the Tercentenary - formerly known as the Hampton Court - and he is a must bet today. He is also the top name in the second leg of my double plan. Hunter's Light, the most impressive 3yo maiden winner seen this year, is huge at 7-1 and just as obvious as second choice. The Irish challenger Marksmanship, whose maiden winning form has worked out so well in recent weeks, must also be included. He is easy to back at 9/2. The fourth one to throw in, for smaller stakes, is Happy Today. He is a crazy price at 25-1 and it does not cost much to make him part of this plan.
Read more about these runners in the race preview.
£100 Double Plan
£45 - Fame And Glory 2-1 and Tazahum 9/2 / 742
£30 - Fame And Glory 2-1 and Markmanship 9/2 / 495
£20 - Fame And Glory 2-1 and Hunter's Light 7-1 / 480
£5 - Fame And Glory 2-1 and Happy Today 25-1 / 380
If you are a layer there is only one tempation at Ascot today, and it must the Prince Of Wales's favourite So You Think. Sure enough, he is the best horse in the race but 2/5 is way too short a price and - as I have already backed Planteur to beat him - I guess I have to recommend laying So You Think. I don't have to but I will. Though I believe Planteur is the only danger. Funny game, this racing business though, and with Twice Over (second here last year and thus proven over the course) and Rewilding (potential improver) and the rest also on your side, it makes sense to lay the favourite here.
THREE BY THREE IN DOUBLES
Today's double plan takes a rather fickle, but probably totally safe, appraoch. The first two races have three solid contenders each and, since they can all be backed at prices from 10/3 to 9/2, combining these three in doubles makes a lot of sense.
That is nine doubles and you can throw a tenth extra double on the two favourites. We are playing for a 100 to 200 per cent net profit.
2.30 Jersey - Codemaster 10/3, Fury 4/1 and Havane Smoker 9/2
3.05 Windsor Forest - Sajjhaa 4/1, Seta 4/1 and I'm A Dreamer 5/1
Read more about these horses in the race previews and Globeform's Royal Ascot Magazine.
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Two weak favourites stick out for layers on day one of the meeting; the Australian sprinter Star Witness at around 4-1 in the King's Stand Stakes (3.05) and the Irish trained juvenile Power at 4-1 for the Coventry Stakes (4.25).
Both these runners owe their stamp as favourite much due to their connections - and they should be taken on. Star Witness is a smart sprinter but not in the same league as previous Aussies who have taken this race over the years, and this field has some serious dangers; Overdose (if back to his best), Sole Power (if ground dries out), Kingsgate Native (if he feels like doing his best), War Artist (so tough and game), Monsieur Chevalier (if back to his juvenile form), Swiss Diva (good form and may improve) and Holiday For Kitten (very fast filly open to improvement). If you lay the favourite, all these and more will be running for you. Not a bad deal is it.
Laying Power may be a bit more daring but again, it is his human connections, more than his bare form, that has put him at the head of the market. He made hard work of winning last time and there is a whole host of unexposed talents in opposition today. Go against him and on your side you will have 22 others, including the likes of Commissar, B Fifty Two, Mezmaar, Brocklebank, Gatepost, Italo and Trumpet Major.
70% of risk: Star Witness / King's Stand Stakes
30% of risk: Power / Coventry Stakes
LOGICAL DOUBLE BET
Frederick Engels heads the market for a wide open Winsdor Castle Stakes (5.35) and at 4-1 he is a reasonable price. This son of Iceman impressed with an easy win in his most recent start, when he improved after having run second to the filly Shumoos at Haydock Park. She is a short priced favourite for the Queen Mary Stakes tomorrow, and looks banker material. If Frederick Engels, set to be ridden by Johnny Murtagh, wins today she will be around evens in the Queen Mary. Back them in an each-way double and enjoy the show!
EW DOUBLE: Frederick Engels 4-1 and Shumoos 7-4
Last update: 2011-06-21 07:06:16 (First published: 2011-06-14 03:46:19 )
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