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Meet the Preakness day banker
by Geir Stabell / Globeform
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BLAME looks sure to win on his come-back in the William Donald Schaefer (G3) - ratce 8, part of the Pick 6.

His late seasonal debut was always the plan and is no cause for concern. Ending last year on a progressive note, the son of Arch could develop into a serious Grade One perfomer at four, and he has little to fear on Saturday. Having produced Globeform 119p when landing the 9-furlong Clark Handicap (G2) at Churchill Downs last fall, he can win the Schaefer without bringing his absolute best form to the table.

Bullsbay would be a threat if running up to his best, but that is quite a big “if” following his dull effort at Churchill Downs two weeks ago. He trailed in last, a long way behind Arson Squad in the Alysheba Stakes (G3), where Flying Private was a game runner-up. Flying Private can be an Exacta / Trifecta filler once more. He ran the race of his life at this track 12 months ago, taking fourth to Rachel Alexandra in the Preakness Stakes (G1). That form, beaten just 4 lengths by the top filly, was worth GF 116 but it is more realistic to use GF 110 when assessing Flying Private (he ran to GF 107 last time). The Wayne Lukas trainee has finished second in 6 of his 16 races and won just twice.

The pace scenario is likely to be to Blame’s liking. He needs solid fractions to be seen to full effect over this (bit short for him) distance. He will have three likely speed horses (all to his inside) and the race is going to set up nicely for Albert Stall’s colt. He beat Grade One winners Misremembered and Einstein in the Clark and Blame really is an exciting prospect.

If the 8-5 chalked up on the morning line is close to reality – we must make him a maximum win bet on Saturday.

Published: 2010-05-14 05:02:29

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