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44-1 Breeders’ Cup Future Plan
by Handicappers / Globeform
Printer-friendly version

Santa Anita

With future betting now well up and running for several of the 14 Breeders’ Cup races, we have compiled our first BC Treble Plan. Three races have horses with particularly tempting prices and, with a plan involving seven names, we are amining for a massive 44-1 return.


THE VALUE at this stage, just under three weeks out, lies in three turf events:

Breeders’ Cup FILLY & MARE TURF (Friday)

Forever Together / Last year’s winner / Best odds: 9-2

Forever Together must have a great chance of repeating last year’s success. True, she has lost her last two starts but they have been slowly-run affairs that did not suit her at all, and she ran really well when compromised by a lack of pace each time. More importantly, she did not get hard races and thus goes to the Breeders’ Cup full of energy – we know Forever Together loves the course and the distance, we know she is an intended runner, and 9-2 is a fantastic price. Particularly if Dar Re Mni goes for the Turf instead, as seems likely.


Breeders’ Cup MILE (Saturday)

Delegator / One of the best 3yos in Europe / Best odds: 6-1

Zacinto / Fast improving 3yos in Europe / Best odds: 6-1

Gladiatorus / Extremeley good front-runner / Best odds: 14-1

Let’s take a shot at going against Goldikova in the Mile. She may well be the best horse and she gets a weight advantage, but Goldikova is an ‘iffy’ proposition now, after showing signs of a negative temperament on more than one occasion in Europe, and after having been beaten by two longshots last time out. Zacinto, a fast improving three-year-old trained by Sir Micheal Stoute, makes a lot of appeal. As does the classic placed Group 2 winner Delegator, like the powerful older horse Gladiatorus trained by Saeed bin Suroor. This is a solid trio to have on your side, and at least two of them should get a good post-position at Santa Anita. What if Goldikova is drawn wide? Will she be even money then? Probably not.


Breeders’ Cup TURF (Saturday)

Conduit / Last year’s winner / Take US pool / PMU odds

Spanish Moon / G1 winner France, potential improver / Best odds: 5-1

Dar Re Mi / First past post 3x in G1 races this distance / Best odds: 5-1


If last year’s winner Conduit come across, and takes something like his best form to the table, he will be awfully hard to beat. He has not yet been confirmned, however, as the Japan Cup is very much a target (he is qualified for a $1.3 mill. bonus in that event). We have to include Conduit, but the wise move is to play him at US Pool odds, meaning we do not lose on his lines if he does not run. He is currently 6-4 with the bookmakers but should be nearer 2-1 at Santa Anita, where there will be money so many of the others. His stable companion Spanish Moon, recommended on these pages when he was a 25-1 shot, has come down steadily in the betting in recent weeks. Confirmed on course for Santa Anita, he is just the type to do well in North America. This race will probably be his last for Stoute, before he joins the Frankel barn. Dar Re Mi, one of the best fillies in Europe, ran well enough in the ‘Arc’ to suggest that she holds a winning chance if connections run her in the Turf. That seems to be the way they are leaning, and it is easy to see why. Twelve furlongs is just her cup of tea and the shorter trip of the Filly & Mare Turf could easily compromise her.


”TURF TREBLE PLAN”
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Forever Together 9-2

Delegator 6-1
Zacinto 6-1
Gladiatorus 14-1

Conduit / PMU
Spanish moon 5-1
Dar Re Mi 5-1

9 win trebles x 10 units
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Forever Together 9-2

Delegator 6-1
Zacinto 6-1

Conduit / PMU

2 win trebles x 10 units
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Total stakes: 110 units

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Apoprox. min. return with three winners: 1500 – 2000

Maximum return with three winners: 4950

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Published: 2009-10-19 08:13:38

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