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How Moneycantbuymelove was advised @ 15/2!

Betting on a race normally best avoided

by Geir Stabell / Globeform
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Royal Ascot Wednesday:

Globeform editor Geir Stabell explains why a race he never bets on at Royal Ascot, takes his interest this week. Ratings have something to do with it, a lot to do with it in fact, as this selection looks very leniently treated in one of the big handicaps.

Moneycantbuymelove is a filly that tempts me into having a serious bet on a race I normally swerve each year, the Sandringham Stakes (LR), a mile handicap for fillies. This is always such a tricky affair, and more often than not a brick wall for punters trying to get out on a winning note on day two of the Royal meeting.

Michael Bell trains Moneycantbuymelove, a strapping daughter of the successful tallion Pivotal, and he was quick to nominate this valuable handicap after her win in the Hight Of Fashion Stakes (LR) over 10 furlongs at Goodwood last month. The handicapper gave Moneycantbuymelove 96 for that impressive off-the-pace win, and that looks too low. In all probablity, it is the best part of ten pounds too low, and she is a must bet here.

She earned Globeform 103p for her win at Goodwood, where she beat Fallen In Love, after having produced GF 96p to take third behind Take The Hint in the Pretty Polly Stakes (LR) at Newmarket on her previous start, when she also tackled 10 furlongs. Take The Hint is a leading contender for the Ribblesdale Stakes (G2) on Thursday, and Moneycantbuymelove’s runner-up at Goodwood, Fallen in Love, went on to run a good third behind Splashdown and Apple Charlotte in the Weinstock Memorial (LR) at Newbury. There can be no doubt; this form is worth a higher ratings than 96 and Moneycantbuymelove could well be one of the best handicapped horses to run this week.

Now, the negative factor also needs mentioning, and that is the distance. The way she ran at Goodwood suggests that a mile and a quarter suits her better than a mile, but the Ascot mile is a stiff one and if the early pace is strong, Moneycantbuymelove can pick them off one by one in the final furlong. She is best priced at 15-2.

Geir Stabell

Last update: 2009-06-22 03:16:47 (First published: 2009-06-16 08:53:11 )

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